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To: Lucretius who wrote (68753)10/13/1999 11:50:00 PM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 86076
 
no he has been short and making money...

for Wednesday, October 13, 1999.
The technical pattern we described last Friday of the Dow returning up to a
trendline from below was an almost perfect guideline for us. The Dow did
get above the 10,700 level, but it lasted literally for only a few minutes,
and here we are less than three days later, and almost 500 points lower. It
was just what the pattern would have expected. As you know from last week's
updates, it had to occur or significantly higher projections would have
been given. Today's price action was significant because it did generate
nominal 20 day downside projections on closing projection charts for the
Dow and the New York Composite. The Dow closing price projection calls for
9900.30 to 10,014.20; New York Composite Index closing price projections to
between 571.47 and 580.56. The difficult factor here in terms of the price
projections is that it appears as if it will be very difficult to generate
projections lower than around 95 to 9600 on the Dow, at least over the
short term. Currently we can say that the Dow's nominal 40 week projection
allows for a price as low as 9556 on a closing basis, but no lower, and it
seems if lower projections are possible that that price would have to be
reached for the next one to two days, which is a highly unlikely
probability. In any event, the horrible market internals are finally
catching up with the higher cap market indices and averages. They bear
close watching from here.
Mutual fund switchers, Rydex switchers are in the Rydex Ursa fund.
Fidelity Select switchers are in cash. All mutual fund switchers should
call after 3:20 p.m. each market day, and call each market evening.
Stock Index futures traders, you covered the December S&P contract (the
short) at 1293.20 for a profit of $41. Tomorrow, we are not going to take
any chances in missing a big move to the downside, even though the futures
are very oversold here and could get a pretty good intra-day rally at any
time, but we are going to short the opening with a stop $14.20 above the
opening price. The XAU is tough to read here. There are no new projections
there. The December bonds are close to meeting their projections between
110 and 111 and the bonds could become interesting sometime over the next
several days in terms of the long side. That's it for now. Have a great
day. Cheer for the Red Socks!