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Politics : Idea Of The Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (29264)10/14/1999 9:42:00 AM
From: J. P.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
A 1929 style crash would only bring us to 8500? That's not so scary. It seems like only yesterday we were at 8500.

Good luck to all.



To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (29264)10/14/1999 10:52:00 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 50167
 
GZ.. another puzzle..

I think your chart is great but in this co-relation lets try to super impose the corporate earnings from the same period and now, also GDP growth , you may be little surprised to see what that co-relationship reveals..

Next.. look at this one, we say the economy is overheating, yesterday I had some guests over one is a PhD from Cambridge and trade arbitrage, the other is a soft ware programmer and makes software for trading the third is also a trader, I asked htem this simple question..

If economy is overheating at 3% brisk rate where is that growth coming from... according to experts 15% of the economy is Tech economy, and 85% is the old economy, the 15% tech economy is growing at a brisk rate of 30% whereas the total economy is trading at 3% rate, so in actual terms isn't it so that the old economy is deflating instead of overheating, if the total economy growth rate is only 3% than the cement and mortar economy is actually shrinking by 1.5%.. fwiw

Yesterday as I was jogging in the park this Idea came in my mind, I thought to ask Zack he was quite curious but last night the 'trade gurus' who come and sit with me to exchange pleasantries and like to get a feel of things will quite surprised, they had a great time.. we all enjoyed a great laught, comparisons some time of different periods and product cycles need certain inputs which is no visible and that is one problem.. your chart is great I will write on this surely and try ot make comparisons if I can get the data of corporate earnings and GDP ..



To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (29264)10/14/1999 12:31:00 PM
From: Jerry Olson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
GZ........<GULP>?????

it sure don't feel like 29'<vbg>...

i think we made a near term bottom on the SPX and DJIA today...we rally from here...to where??? qien sabe'????