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Gold/Mining/Energy : Canadian Oil & Gas Companies -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Craig C who wrote (6889)10/14/1999 10:05:00 AM
From: mark calgary  Respond to of 24939
 
As talked about earlier excellent results are on their way for many small companies - check this out !!

Danoil expects to exceed 1999 forecast

Danoil Energy Ltd
DAN
Shares issued 23,832,088
1999-10-13 close $1.8
Thursday Oct 14 1999
Mr. Jack Lee reports
Danoil Energy will exceed its 1999 forecast of production and cash flow. In its
1998 annual report, Danoil forecast cash flow for 1999 to be $8.1-million (35
cents per share). This forecast has now been increased to $12.3-million (53 cents
per share). Production averaged 3,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day in July
with cash flow exceeding $1.0-million per month in the third quarter. Fourth
quarter volumes and cash flow are expected to be significantly higher.
Stronger than expected oil prices have resulted in a reactivation of virtually all of
Danoil's shut-in oil and the recent drilling of five infill wells. All five wells were
successful and were placed on production early in the fourth quarter at an average
rate of 50 barrels of oil per day each. At least five more follow-up wells will be
drilled before year-end. As a part of this program the company has hedged 1,000
barrels per day (bpd) from Jan. 1, 2000, to June 30, 2000. The hedge has a floor
price, West Texas Intermediate converted to Canadian dollars of $28.17 and a
ceiling price of $32.77. At these prices the company expects a payout of less than
one year for these wells.
The drilling program at Judy Creek continues to be very positive. Danoil recently
completed its best well in the area (96-per-cent working interest), it drill stem
tested at 3.8 million cubic feet per day (mmcf/d) and will be tied in and on
production before year-end. It is currently expected that three additional wells will
be drilled in the area before year-end, bringing the total wells drilled and/or
recompleted in the area to 11. Danoil expects that in excess of 50 per cent of its
overall gas production will come from Carson and Judy Creek in the year 2000.
To date capital expenditures have not kept pace with growth in cash flow and
therefore, debt levels continue to drop. Danoil estimates current net debt at
approximately $19.5-million, $9.0-million lower than at this time last year. The
debt to cash flow ratio is expected to be approximately 1.0, annualizing fourth
quarter cash flow.

WARNING: The company relies upon litigation protection for "forward-looking"
statements.
(c) Copyright 1999 Canjex Publishing Ltd.



To: Craig C who wrote (6889)10/14/1999 12:18:00 PM
From: SofaSpud  Respond to of 24939
 
Quite a few juniors were pretty close to the edge by the end of the first quarter. Bank lines used up, that kind of thing. If we had had another two quarters of $10 oil, Probe wouldn't be the exception, IMO.

I agree with your observation that the service side has been slow to pick up. Part of it was plain bad weather. But I do think that several companies whose balance sheets got ugly have had to walk a tightrope -- use improved cash flow to clean up the balance sheet, at the expense of drilling to take advantage of higher prices. The market is, of course, extremely unforgiving -- some of the former princesses are now considered toads because they haven't grown, haven't been able to afford to grow.

If we still have $20 oil in mid-2000, there will be a ton of money coming into the sector. But my guess is that we won't see U.S. buyouts from this point. Crestar, for example, was being shopped at $12, so why buy over $20? The exception might be if East Lost Hills lives up to its hype -- I would think Berkley would be taken out in a New York minute if they proved up multi TCFs. BWDIK.