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To: William JH who wrote (52962)10/14/1999 10:10:00 AM
From: oilbabe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
OPEC Compliance With Oil Output Cuts Surpasses 90%, Iran Says

Tehran, Oct. 14 (Bloomberg) -- Iran, the second-biggest oil
producer in OPEC, and the United Arab Emirates denied reports
that oil exporters raised output last month, saying that
compliance with self-imposed production cuts remained high.

Oil prices in London fell 6.3 percent on Oct. 8 on reports
that 10 members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries pumped 23.33 million barrels a day last month, 90,000
more than a month earlier, a Bloomberg survey said. Compliance
with output quotas fell by 2 percentage points from a month
earlier to 92 percent.

Though prices have since recovered, traders remain alert for
signs that exporters are selling more oil to raise additional
revenue. OPEC nations said they will continue to restrain output
to ensure that a world glut ends.
``Compliance has been above 90 percent over the last four
months, and it will remain at this high level,' said Hossein
Kazempour Ardebili, Iran's OPEC governor. Iran is ``confident'
that production cuts would drain 2 million barrels a day from
global inventories in the fourth quarter, he said.

OPEC and four non-OPEC producers pledged earlier this year
to reduce world oil output by more than 5 million barrels a day,
or about 7 percent, for one year, starting April 1. The producers
reaffirmed their commitment at a meeting in Vienna on Sept. 22.

Many producers prefer to monitor production on a quarterly
basis in an effort to smooth monthly fluctuations. By this
standard, OPEC's third-quarter compliance reached 93 percent, up
from 88 percent in the second quarter.

Even so, many analysts say they expect that OPEC nations
will continue to boost output in the months ahead. Rising demand
from winter heating fuel use in the Northern Hemisphere should
limit the market's drop, they say.
``I think we have seen the peak of compliance,' said
Mohammed Abduljabbar, an analyst with Washington-based Petroleum
Finance Co. ``I don't think we will see a big drop in compliance,
but as long as it remains above 80 percent then Brent should stay
around $20 a barrel,' he said.

Brent in London today sold for $22.82 a barrel after the
American Petroleum Institute said U.S. inventories last week fell
more than analysts expected. United Arab Emirates Oil Minister
Obeid bin Seif Al-Nasseri described the recent fluctuations in
oil prices as ``normal.'
``We hope that compliance with cuts would be better in order
to maintain previous gains and to achieve price stability,' he
said, according to the official WAM news agency.

The oil ministers of Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, and Mexico are
expected to review compliance levels when they meet in Riyadh
next month.