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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (29592)	10/14/1999 11:12:00 AM
From: John Madarasz	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

I wonder? while commodities, bond rates, and dollar all indicate/foreshadow real inflation 3-6 months out, the market will have to contend with the fact that inflation could begin to rear it's ugly head during the prime period for equity prices... Over the past year, I'll admit that I have experimented with timing myself, creating elaborate historical spreadsheets to determine the best months to invest. My research -- in which I equally weight monthly returns from the S&P 500 ($INX), Dow Industrial Average ($INDU), Nasdaq Composite ($COMPX) and Nasdaq 100 ($NDX.X) over the past 20 years -- makes it clear that the kindest month for investors, by far, is January, followed by December, November, April and May. February, July, March and June are essentially neutral. And it probably won't surprise you that September, October and August are the worst months for share prices. * from a recent MSN article and of course the Y2K issue plays into the worry as well. I've got to believe there is at least a little worry out there.<g> I believe in the bull, but I also believe that we have in large part been in a bear market for the past couple years with the majority of issues struggling at best...the indices just haven't realized it yet. I'm still waiting for a big selloff on massive volume...I actually want it, just like Warren...and Heinz<g>. Maybe then we can move up in a more healthy manner. Best Regards, John O/T: Have you ever by chance visited "The Old Smithy" on the Schonlaterngasse in the heart of Vienna? I understand it's now a museum, but was once the home of Der Kunstschmied Otto Schmirler, one of my all time inspirational art metal masters. I have a hard time finding information about it, and would love to visit if it is still indeed a museum complete with a collection of Otto's works.