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To: Larry S. who wrote (21022)10/15/1999 7:23:00 AM
From: Ron McKinnon  Respond to of 53068
 
last night the futures tanked 10+ points in a second with the Grennie comments

what to do today?

accross the board we should see a down open
the DOW is still in the recent trading range; between sup/res
just like clockwork
10,000-11,000
10,200-10,800
10,400-10,600
200 DMA about 10,400
risk to maybe 9600
or down 7% from here and 15% from the high
not an unsual drop at all
need to see if support holds this time

the NASD is still much higher compared to the DOW
thus maybe more downside risk
rough supports:
2800
2675
2600
2580
2450
200 DMA about 2550
2400 would be about 17% below the high

for the S+P I'll let Master Nemer opine

the PPI numbers may well impact all the above

do I think a drop is coming? not a clue

but keep this all in mind

so what to do today if a big fall happens?
could wait for a major bottom and buy like hell for a turn up
or, be over cautious and stay heavy cash over the weekend and see what Monday brings

if no fall takes place?
just stay with whatever has been working of late

stay tuned

thoughts from all?

disclaimer:
I'm only in three short positions in my trading account
in IRA am down to just 4500 KSWS and bits and pieces of some oddball stuff
mainly cash
#1 on my watch list is good old FNM; would love to see sub 60 again

luck to all



To: Larry S. who wrote (21022)10/15/1999 7:28:00 AM
From: Ron McKinnon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 53068
 
one other thought
if you are going to buy anything
please don't buy:
junk
falling knives
companies that have warned
they ain't gonna turn in this environment

buy:
great companies cheaper
great companies cheaper
great companies cheaper