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To: Bipin Prasad who wrote (49301)10/15/1999 1:01:00 PM
From: Patrick Koehler  Respond to of 53903
 
Insook - a few years ago, I would probably have bought 10 Oct 65 calls this morning for 2 1/2, and doubled my money.
The stock doesn't always move to that strike price which eliminates the maximum option holders, but it is better than 50-50 that it will move in that direction. My favorite option trades were in the last few days before expiration, when the time premium is very low, sometimes 0.
The downside is getting caught at the wrong time. In early 1997, I had 130 calls the morning of expiration, and Tom Kurlak did one of his anti-tout things, and my calls became worthless, losing over $20,000. It is the gamble that one takes.
Patrick



To: Bipin Prasad who wrote (49301)10/15/1999 1:20:00 PM
From: Patrick Koehler  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53903
 
Insook - I'm out of my longs at 71 1/16. Still believe that the price will be close to 70 at the end of the day, and I don't want to hold over the weekend.
Patrick



To: Bipin Prasad who wrote (49301)10/15/1999 9:57:00 PM
From: Skeeter Bug  Respond to of 53903
 
insook, i would argue that rational investors, as a whole, have not done as well as the bull market - nor nearly as well.

that isn't a bad thing long term. the irrational folks pumping this market will not keep their gains.