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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Madharry who wrote (30121)10/16/1999 10:39:00 AM
From: Jorge Sierra  Respond to of 99985
 
>>If the market drops by 40-60% will those loans still be good? <<

You are considering a zero chance of happening
possibility, the market will do -15%, -20% a miracle -30%,
but 40%-60%, no way Jose. -20% over 4-6 month period,
started Jul-6 ? we are now like -10% ?
I think, it already did -10% (DJ, SPX), it has not done
it on NASDQ, QQQ ? so is a selective correction ( very well welcome)

By TA (weekly stochastic/MACD on SPY), the correction
started like 4-5 month ago, I dont see exact day because
when I see a graph weekly frequency days are hard to see. Started at the begining of Jul.

Conclusion, now stochastic on SPX quote.com is at 1.16,
very low, weekly frequency, so I expect another pullback of
+4% on spx before going down again. This correction will
be -6%, +4%. It wont be -20% in one week or even worst -40%.