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To: Think4Yourself who wrote (53116)	10/17/1999 12:20:00 AM
From: Tomas	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 95453

Upcoming winter to be colder than last two - Davis Canoe Money News, By Kerm Yerman October 16 The coming winter season, the first in the new millennium, will be colder than the previous two winters, meteorologist Jon Davis of brokers Salomon Smith Barney, forecast Friday. In his outlook for 1999-2000, Davis, who is based in Chicago, said prospects point to a much more normal type of a winter across the bulk of the nation. Davis' weather reports are closely watched in the futures commodities markets. "The chances that the U.S. will have a third extremely warm winter in a row are remote," he said, noting that the 1997-98 and the 1998-99 winters were the third and second warmest winters on record in the U.S. A bias for cold weather could come as early as November and December, he said. "The winter is likely to get off to a fast start with an abundance of early season cold across much of the country," he said. But it was crucial to monitor changes in sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean to ascertain La Nina conditions, which are normally associated with wetter-than-normal weather, he said. A continuation of the moderate La Nina conditions will likely lead to a colder bias later in the winter while an increase would lead to warmer temperatures during the second half of the season, he said. The atmosphere around the Northern Hemisphere has cooled off considerably this year and is back down to more normal levels, creating much more cold air in the source areas of the Arctic going into the winter, a significant difference compared to the past two autumns, he said. With an adequate amount of cold air to work with, a signficant portion of precipitation in the coming winter will be in the form of snow, he said. Snow accumulations will likely be near to above normal across much of the northern U.S. from the Great Lakes to the Pacific Nortwest. In the Northeast, stretching from Boston to Washington, forecasting the amount of snowfall accumulations is extremely difficult, he said, because it comes down to the specific elements of four or five individual storms. The Southern U.S., meanwhile, should have below-normal precipitation trends during the upcoming season. Included in the regional bias are California, Southwest and South-Central states, including Texas, and the Southeast, including Florida. canoe.ca