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To: Tony Viola who wrote (90511)10/18/1999 12:49:00 AM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 186894
 
Calmer Monday?
Dawn Patrol
October 18, 1999
by Loren Fox

Monday looks to be a bit calmer for technology shares, after the
debacle that was Friday, when the technology-heavy Nasdaq
composite index fell 2.7 percent. Investor psychology is somewhat
depressed, but tech stocks will try to rebound. But many traders
will see Monday as a wait-and-see day, as they wait for bigger
news Tuesday: on Tuesday, the government releases an important
inflation report and software behemoth Microsoft Corp. reports
fiscal first-quarter earnings.

Interest rates continue to play a large role in the psychology of the
stock market. The benchmark 30-year Treasury bond, which is a
proxy for interest rates, ended Friday night at 6.26 percent. That's
below Friday morning's level, but still above the key 6.25-percent
mark.

With the big question being whether the Federal Reserve Board
will hike short-term interest rates, Monday is free of economic
reports. Wall Street is looking to Tuesday morning's release of the
monthly consumer price index, the widely watched measure of
retail prices. Economists expect the report to show the CPI rose
0.4 percent in September.

Silver Lining? Sure, tech stocks are stumbling over the current
anxiety about interest rates. But at least one fund manager feels
it's nothing to blow out of proportion. "We're having a correction.
We have very high absolute multiples [of price-to-earnings]," says
Walter Price, co-manager of the Dresdner RCM Global
Technology Fund. "I don't think it's a bear market."

Price tells UpsideToday that the Federal Reserve Board probably
needs to hike interest rates again to head off any inflation and
maintain the bull market. "Hopefully, the Fed raises rates one more
time and that's enough to slow down the economy and inflation," he
says. At this point, the stock market is probably assuming a rate
hike at the Fed's November meeting.

And that's not so bad for tech. "Tech does pretty well in the year
after a Fed tightening," Price explains. And in a slower-growing
economy, tech stocks still offer relatively robust growth.

Besides rates, Price's only other worry now is that Y2K-related
spending slowdowns may be more severe than he expects. What
does he expect? Not much pain. Says Price, "We think 2000 looks
like a pretty good year for hardware spending and
semiconductors."

Company Happenings: After Friday's markets closed, Storage
Technology (STK) said it hired investment bank Goldman Sachs
and consulting firm McKinsey & Co. to evaluate its strategic
options, such as selling the company. The computer storage
company's stock has fallen by about half so far this year.

Local phone giant SBC Communications (SBC) is expected to
unveil its data and broadband access strategy to analysts Monday,
according to press reports. The strategy reportedly includes a
multi-billion dollar plan to upgrade its equipment.

Among the tech companies slated to report quarterly earnings
Monday is imaging company Xerox Corp. (XRX), which reports its
third quarter; analysts expect earnings of 47 cents a share.
Computer printer maker Lexmark (LXK) reports its third quarter,
and analysts see profits of 54 cents a share. And wireless
communications company Nextel Communications (NXTL) reports
its third quarter; analysts expect a loss of $1.10 a share.

IPO Patrol: Another week brings another batch of tech-related
initial public offerings. The hottest tech deal expected some time
this week might be Sycamore Networks (SCMR), a maker of
optical networking equipment that is expected to price its shares at
$18 to $20 each. Also, NaviSite (NAVI), a Web site hosting
company that is majority-owned by CMGI, is expected to price at
$10 to $12 a share. And Aether Systems (AETH), a provider of
wireless communications services and software, is seen pricing its
IPO at $13 to $15.

Friday's hot IPO was Women.com (WOMN), an online network
for women whose backers include Hearst Corp. The deal priced at
$10 a share, and it rose 85 percent in its first day of trading to
close at $18.50.


Loren Fox is finance editor at Upside Media.





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more Dawn Patrol
Calmer Monday? -- Tech tries to
recover before big Tuesday....
October 18, 1999
Volatility Ahead -- Rate worries
weigh on tech stocks....
October 15, 1999
Tech Looks Sluggish -- Earnings,
rates both hurt tech psychology....
October 14, 1999
Intel Downside -- Intel's earnings
disappointment will weigh on
tech....
October 13, 1999
more ...



Dow Jones
Industrial Avg.
10019.71
-266.90
S&P 500
1247.41
-36.01
NYSE Composite
576.17
-15.16
AMEX Composite
777.00
-8.95
NASDAQ
Composite
2731.83
-75.01
Russell 2000
414.70
-4.61
30-year Treasury
Bond
6.26
-0.06
last updated 10/15/1999 15:00

Quotes are delayed at
least 20 mins.

Most Actives
(15 most actively traded stocks on the NYSE,
Nasdaq and AMEX)
Gainers
(15 biggest winners on the NYSE, Nasdaq and
AMEX)
Losers
(15 biggest losers on the NYSE, Nasdaq and
AMEX)
Upgrades/Downgrades

Internet
383.34
-15.09
Telecom Equipment
1030.83
-39.23
Computer Hardware
871.77
-17.70
Computer Networks
1101.64
-30.51
Computer
Peripherals
871.17
-18.44
Computer Services
1633.69
-30.75
Computer Storage
Devices
406.72
-4.63
Semiconductors
758.88
-1.27
Software &
Programming
914.30
-21.85
Broadcasting &
Cable TV
1262.97
-30.32
last updated 10/15/1999 14:56


Financial Info
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SBC
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XRX
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WOMN
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