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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (53166)10/18/1999 3:19:00 PM
From: SliderOnTheBlack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95453
 
<< Why did Warburg wait until the OSX was down 25% to downgrade those stocks? >>

Because unlike Merrill, SSB, and Pru with their retail customer base that keeps them honest; Warburg D.R can take care of its Institutional Players by adding some negative Mo-Mo to a potential blow off... rat bastards imho... nothing, paranoid about it - strictly a manipulative move.

It gives the shorts less resistance; allows the Institutions; many who have trimmed here into fiscal year end - locking in their fund gains & bonuses for the year; to step in back cheaper after the smoke settles from the overall market.

But; with crude & gas prices where they are - don't see anything major... maybe if the DOW melts down; we hit OSX 58-60 as an intra-day low in an absolute worst case scenario; but - those levels will trigger immediate sector rotation into the Oilpatch.

This is a "fair value" bottom here imho; only external factors, or manipulative news spin doctoring on OPEC breaking down, or downgrades into a selloff etc. will take us much lower.

Again; watch SLB .

... and the E&P's with strong earnings here will be fine. Many are not budging here - and for good reason.

Got SII ?



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (53166)10/18/1999 3:21:00 PM
From: Braddock Bull  Respond to of 95453
 
Each time I read the downgrade descriptions, they make less and less sense... slamming GOM shallow drillers while saying in the same breath that it's picking up in the Gulf, etc. I think this is the same analyst who upgraded some OSX stocks last week. I'd put it down to plain old manipulation. These guys are never gutsy enough to go contrarian unless they have another motive. Ill timed, illogical, and just bizzare in my opinion.

Brad