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To: The Devil Dog who wrote (22614)10/19/1999 5:17:00 PM
From: Cameron  Respond to of 62348
 
The nanos....

Well... they called the market @ 6820 and it came in at 6850.... gooooooood for them!!!!

Unfortunately that isn't really what I wanted to see.... what I wanted to see was a large overshoot with the market closing above 6970... which would have been a solid signal that a relatively significant bottom had been hit.

As it is, the nano and actuals were right on yesterday and there was a minor overshoot today. Based on history, that means one of two things:

1) Tomorrow we see the large overshoot and the reversal is confirmed... a day delay like this has happened before but generally the subsequent reversal is only moderately strong. The nano number for tomorrow is 6850 so a 150 overshoot would mean the market needs to close near 7000 tomorrow for this scenario to kick in.
2) We don't see a large overshoot which basically means we're travelling sideways more or less until further notice.

The fact that the two lines met yesterday and the nanos maintained even a small overshoot today would indicate that we shouldn't see a continuation of the downtrend.... they have been quite consistent in the past in this regard.

In any event, I'm still hopeing for scenario 1 but I guess time will tell.



To: The Devil Dog who wrote (22614)10/19/1999 5:20:00 PM
From: Cameron  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 62348
 
<<MSFT came out with real good earnings>> I'll take any help I can get to make an orderly exit from COR at this point <gggg>.... how about this.... I'll sell on the open at a profit.... then it can slide and you can cover your short at a profit???? Sounds good to me!!!