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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jerome who wrote (8136)10/19/1999 11:26:00 PM
From: Ian@SI  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10921
 
J,

Total Global Capital expenditures including building the fabs, clean rooms and equipping them are in the order of $30B annually.

I believe that Semi reports at most 40% of that total.

It's tough to say what % is equipment and what % is infrastructure. It tends to depend upon how many shells get mothballed and how many of those shells get filled or how many fabs get a new line installed.

As a ballpark, it's probably in the 70-80% range while we're filling shells.

So getting more than $2B a month, especially when Capital managers are under a "spend it or lose it" calendar year end policy, seems doable.

Especially with the strength of the upturn.

As Schumann sounds like an expert, it's probable she would know what she's talking about. i.e. - global sales rather than US only.

FWIW,
Ian.



To: Jerome who wrote (8136)10/19/1999 11:59:00 PM
From: Gottfried  Respond to of 10921
 
Jerome, thanks for taking a stab at it. I've asked the same
question on the AMAT thread. I'm concerned about Street
perception here, not reality. :) My gut feel is the stocks
will take a breather, maybe go lower, before rising more
next year. But what do I know?

Gottfried