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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gerald Walls who wrote (30919)10/20/1999 1:51:00 AM
From: RoseCampion  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74651
 
Not to crash the party here, but is anyone else holding (or more likely, as in my case, still holding) VSIO as a MSFT "surrogate" with a sort-of low-risk arbitrage component? The takeover is supposed to be completed by the end of the year, and the buyout ratio is supposed to be fixed in stone at .45 MFST to 1 VSIO. That would put VSIO's closing value today at about 38 7/8, which is actually 1 3/4 points (almost 5%) higher than where it actually closed, at 37 1/8.

To my way of thinking, as I know both companies and have every belief that the deal will go through as planned, this seems like I'm getting to buy a deep-in-the-money MSFT call that has a negative 5% time premium built in. Does anyone else see it this way, or am I missing something obvious here?

-Rose-



To: Gerald Walls who wrote (30919)10/20/1999 3:29:00 AM
From: XINLING DENG  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74651
 
unearned revenue:

sep/97 1601
dec/97 2038
mar/98 2463
jun/98 2880
sep/98 3133
dec/98 3552
mar/99 4195
jun/99 4239

last 8 q average +292

sep/99 4129 -110

last q unearned revenue should be around 4500,
msft dipped into the unearned revenue to make
the .38 ep, what do you guys think?
BMCS did that a few 1/4 ago, its price drop a lot next day....
guess msft is different....