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To: BigBull who wrote (53306)10/20/1999 8:11:00 PM
From: BigBull  Respond to of 95453
 
The Offshore Pie just grows and grows. Petrobras to spend $33 BBBBBBBBBilllion in the next 5 years. Hey, a billion here, a billion there ...

Bloomberg Energy
Wed, 20 Oct 1999, 7:58pm EDT

10/20 0:00 Brazil's Petrobras Plans to Invest $32.9 Bln to Double Oil Output by 2005
By Jeb Blount

(Adds share price and plan highlight table at end of story.)

Rio de Janeiro, Oct. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Petroleo Brasileiro
SA, Brazil's largest company, is looking to cut costs and boost
profits in hopes of raising the $32.9 billion it needs to nearly
double oil production by 2005.

To attract investment, the company aims raise the return on
exploration and production capital to at least 12 percent a year
from negative figures today, generate cash flow of $5.7 billion a
year.

It also plans to and to slash refining costs by a fifth and
oil extraction costs, or ``lifting fees,' by almost half.
``This is a big step forward. It's already boosted my
confidence in the company,' said Mary Quinn, Latin American oil
and gas analyst at Warburg Dillon Read in New York. ``In terms of
openness it finally gives us targets by which we can judge their
performance. Now we have to see if they can deliver.'

Without such changes, few believe the traditionally
secretive company, run for nearly half a century as a virtual arm
of the Brazilian government, will be able to get at much of the
estimated $30 billion of oil that sits below Brazil's continental
shelf in ocean waters over a kilometer deep.

The plan could boost confidence in Petrobras as government
officials get ready to sell a third of the company's voting
stock.

Petrobras non-voting preferred shares, its most traded class
of stock jumped for a second straight day, rising 2.5 percent to
292 reais.

Production Delays

Delays in raising capital have forced Petrobras to cut its
2000 production target by 13 percent to 1.13 million barrels a
day. High costs and investments in unproductive fields have also
reduced access to funds that could have been better used
elsewhere.

Petrobras released a strategy book full of production,
investment and exploration targets, though specific measures
designed to reach such goals were largely missing in a series of
presentations to the press, investors and stock market analysts
in Rio de Janeiro today.
``We know now more or less what they want to do,' said
Pedro Martins Jr., a vice president and Petrobras analyst for
Chase Manhattan Corp.'s Brazilian unit. ``Now we have to see how
they will do it.'

He expects the company will move ahead with plans to sell
off or find partners for smaller, older and less profitable
fields on land and in shallow water to concentrate resources
further offshore.
``It's my expectation they will give up a lot of fields in'
Brazil's Northeast Region, he said.

Petrobras is trying to sell part of its portfolio of under-
producing fields and could have a plan in place by the end of the
year. Third parties are expected to make investments worth 40
percent of total assets by 2005

The sale of these blocks, though, is not considered part of
the strategic plan, said Petrobras President Philippe Reichstul.
``By 2005 we want to be an energy company, not just an oil
or gas company,' he said. ``We want to remain the leader in an
open Brazilian market and to expand internationally.'

Petrobras' international expansion is expected to include
the purchase for refineries abroad and the creation of
distribution networks overseas.

Plan Highlights

Petrobras' strategic plans commits Petrobras to meeting the
following goals by 2005. They are based on an average oil price
of about $15 a barrel.
FINANCE
*Invest $32.9 billion
*Of that:
-70 percent from own resources and debt
-20 percent project finance off income statement
-10 percent to be decided
*Raise 14 percent of the investment abroad
*Increase gross sales to $35 billion
EXPORATION AND PRODUCTION
*Produce 2.15 million barrels/day
*Of that:
-1.85 barrels/day in Brazil
-300,000 barrels/day outside Brazil
*Boost proven reserves to 13 billion barrels
*Cut oil extraction costs to $2.80/barrel from $5.10/barrel
*Earn at least 12 percent on capital in area
*Area to get 68 percent of Petrobras investments
REFINING, TRANSPORT AND SALES
*Refine 2.1 million barrels a day
*Of that:
-1.8 million barrels/day in Brazil
-300,000 barrels/day abroad
*Reduce operating costs to $0.80/barrel from $1.08/barrel
*Earn at least 10 percent on capital in area
*Area to get 17 percent of Petrobras investments
DISTRIBUTION
*Remain largest distributor in Brazil
*Extend distribution abroad
*Earn at least 15 percent on capital in area
*Area to get 5 percent of Petrobras investments
NATURAL GAS
*Sell 82 mln cubic meters of gas
*Of that:
-70 mln cubic meters in Brazil
-12 mln cubic meters abroad
*Make at least 12 percent on capital in area
PETROCHEMICALS
*Participate as shareholder where industry can be integrated

with refining.
*Make at least 12 percent on capital in area


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