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To: Matthew L. Jones who wrote (31216)10/24/1999 4:03:00 PM
From: Eric Wells  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
>>Let me offer this perspective to margin debt increase.

Matthew L. Jones: you bring up good points about the margin debt issue. Of course while decreasing stock prices may have the impact of inflating the percentage of margin debt (and perhaps not the total actual amount) - they may also have the impact of increasing the risk of margin debt, which could have just as bad (or worse) of an impact as increasing the overall amount of debt.

However, the margin debt article posted on Excite stated that actual margin debt (not percentage) had increased.

An interesting statistic to evaluate (if it were available) would be one that showed the percentage of margin debt to total account value of all accounts that hold margin. It would also be interesting to see the types of stocks in which margin debt is being invested. One could put forth the notion that margin debt is more likely to be employed by daytraders or online traders in risky investments such as internet stocks - if this is true, I would view this as increasing the risk of current margin debt.

Thanks,
-Eric Wells



To: Matthew L. Jones who wrote (31216)10/25/1999 12:16:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Matt, you forget that the article referred to the absolute level of margin debt in dollars...not the relative level in relation to the value of investors' portfolios. margin debt is now at a record high not only in absolute terms but also as a percentage of GDP. it's just another sign of the incredible complacency that seems to reign.

regards,

hb