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Pastimes : Kosovo -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jbe who wrote (15059)10/25/1999 4:40:00 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Respond to of 17770
 
ALARM IN THE CAUCASUS

Moscow keeps wary eye on Daghestan


Moscow has invaded a third of Chechenya, causing tens of thousands to flee, and imposed a total blockade on the rest of the republic. An escalation of the war would help Yeltsin politically in the upcoming elections (legislative in December, presidential in summer 2000). At the same time Moscow is anxious to avoid 'losing' Daghestan, a key republic of the North Caucasus which may become an indispensable route for Caspian oil to reach Russia. The Kremlin wants to put a stop to the fragmentation and anarchy in the region, not least the spreading Islamic fundamentalism. But is this within the reach of the ageing regime?

by ALEXEI MALASHENKO *

monde-diplomatique.fr

*Carnegie Moscow Centre