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To: jwk who wrote (3832)10/26/1999 9:30:00 PM
From: Labrador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4122
 
Revenue projection numbers looked tasty [decided to take a look at the 10-K]
Just a little behind schedule -- can you believe that just about 2 years ago,
they were projecting earnings of $85 million in 2000!!!

We entered into an agreement with The Hawke Group to provide financial public
relations from October 15, 1997 to April 15, 1998.
As part of their financial
public relations engagement, The Hawke Group requested pro-forma projections for
their Stock Highlights page. The Company furnished estimated revenues and
pre-tax income in October 1997. The projections were based on statistics
published in Diagnostic Imaging, an imaging trade journal, and our estimate of
the number of CTLM(TM) Systems that could be sold. IN October 1997, the Company
believed it could capture 30 units representing $7.5 million of the worldwide
mammography market of $400 million in the first year. The domestic market
represented a mammography market of $150 million. In the second and third year,
the Company estimated that it could sell 75 and 186 foreign units and 135 and
300 domestic units, respectively. The Company believed it could achieve these
projections because of the delivery of the laser components from Spectra-Physics
in October 1997, which would enable it to resume clinical investigational trials
and build a clinical atlas of case studies. Our Pacific Rim distributor
representing thirteen Asian countries had stated that they were willing to
purchase ten CTLM(TM) Systems immediately once we couLD provide a CD-ROM of
clinical cases. We also had specific indications of interest for an additional
twenty CTLM(TM) Systems which were TO be sold in the Pacific Rim once the
initial atlas was updated to include clinical data collected from the first ten
Pacific Rim countries. Although FDA export is required for any exportation of
the CTLM(TM), FDA marketing clearance is not required for Pacific RIM countries.
Concurrent with the foreign sales, we believed we would have at least three
clinical investigational sites in the United States providing the data required
for Pre-Market Approval (PMA) from the FDA. Over the next few years, industry
predictions are that mammography sales will increase due to replacement of older
systems. The third year after the introduction of a new medical imaging device
usually creates a demand as imaging centers and hospitals feel that they will
lose market share if they cannot provide the new technology to their patients.
New technology generates new business as experienced with MRI. A forward-looking
disclaimer was included directly below the projections.

In February 1999, the Company, in an interview with the Miami Herald affirmed
the basic projections qualifying them by stating that the results were
anticipated for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2000.
Below is a comparison of
the Hawke Projections and the February 1999 Projections.

<TABLE>
<CAPTION>
HAWKE PROJECTIONS FEBRUARY 1999 PROJECTIONS
<S> <C>
FISCAL YEAR 6-30-98 FISCAL YEAR 6-30-00
30 foreign units at approximately $250,000 30 foreign units at approximately $250,000
per unit per unit
no domestic no domestic
estimated revenue $7.5mm estimated revenue $7.5mm
pre-tax income ($4mm) pre-tax income ($4mm)

FISCAL YEAR 6-30-99 FISCAL YEAR 6-30-01
75 foreign units at approximately $250,000 75 foreign units at approximately $250,000
per unit per unit
135 domestic units at approximately $350,000 135 domestic units at approximately
per unit $350,000 per unit
estimated revenue $65.9mm estimated revenue $65.9mm
pre-tax income $32mm pre-tax income $32mm

FISCAL YEAR 6-30-00 FISCAL YEAR 6-30-02
186 foreign units at approximately $250,000 186 foreign units at approximately
$250,000 per unit $350,000 per unit
300 domestic units at approximately $350,000 300 domestic units at approximately
per unit $350,000 per unit
estimated revenue $151.5mm estimated revenue $151.5mm
pre-tax income $85.9mm pre-tax income$85.9mm

</TABLE>

Due to the delay in the commencement of the Nassau County clinical
investigational trials, we are unable to determine when we anticipate FDA
marketing clearance or will be able to begin foreign distribution, since we have
deferred foreign distribution of the CTLM(TM) until such time as we have
collected enough clinical data to compile an atlas of CTLM(TM) images. The delay
in the commencement of the Nassau County investigational trials has made the
February 1999 revenue projections unattainable and we are presently unable to
determine when it will begin to generate revenue.