To: Bilow who wrote (32968 ) 10/27/1999 6:49:00 AM From: Bilow Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
Hi all; Further notes on RDRAM vs DDR SDRAM. Pin Costs. Back on September 29, on this thread (see #reply-11393109 ), I put together a set of 10 links with quotes on the subject of pin costs. There were quite a few estimates for what a pin costs, and they ran all the way from 0.2 to 3.0 cents per pin, depending on the technology, and whether the estimate included the cost of assembly as well as just the package costs. Rambus used the 3 cent per pin technique, all the other techniques maxed out at 2 cents per pin. Given this fact, a good bit of the savings advantage of Rambus disappears in the higher cost of its package, but I expect that this higher cost will eventually come down. I see no reason why RDRAM I/O should cost more to "bond" then other techniques, unless it is due to the very high current requirements of RDRAM (i.e 90mA). Because of my uncertainty, I am going to assume that Rambus pads cost the same as other pads. In fact, it is certain that they are no cheaper, and likely that there are higher costs associated with controlling the impedance &c. Now, given the number of signals (see #reply-11714426 ) required on the two technologies, we can compute the total system costs for the two choices, DDR SDRAM vs RDRAM. The cost to the controller chip for a Rambus path is 37 x $0.02 = $0.74 per channel for Rambus. For DDR SDRAM, the corresponding figure is 125 x $0.02 = $2.50 per channel. The difference in cost $2.50 - $0.74 = $1.76, seems like a pretty high amount, but I have made much worst case assumptions all around. In the future, as packaging technologies improve and the costs per pin go down, this number will go down as well. Now we need to compare the cost difference per DIMM vs. RIMM module. We already know that the RIMM compatible motherboards need to be scrapped, uhhh, I mean more carefully designed and manufactured, but there are other costs that are easier to quantify. For instance, the heat sink, uhhhh, "spreader", costs $1.56 per RIMM:The price of $1.38 each, in quantities of 25,000, includes two Cool Covers with interface material. Brass Push Pins are an additional 18 cents per set. techweb.com At this point, we are down to a cost difference of 20 cents per memory channel. This is going to be considerably below the cost of one of those RIMM spacers that they have to insert when there is no memory installed in a slot. The costs of all the other things are going to add up quickly. The Rambus royalty, for instance. Assembling the more complex RIMM module requires more labor, and also requires more expensive testing, as has been extensively mentioned in the industry press. The upshot to all this is simple: RDRAM just isn't going to save anyone any money. It is not a cost effective technology now, nor will it ever be. The cost differences with DDR SDRAM will get worse in the future, not better, as the cost of all that hardware stays constant while the Moore's Law equivalency for packaging drops the cost of SDRAM pins. -- Carl P.S. Sorry, Wily, I have to be careful on this thread, some of these people don't appreciate my sense of humor.