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To: tero kuittinen who wrote (2607)10/29/1999 4:04:00 PM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 34857
 
Mobile Operators Should Compete on Voice Not Data, Says Report

By Vanessa Clark

29 October 1999

Mobile operators should use wireless data as a way to
increase voice calls and not try to compete with fixed
operators in the data market says a new report from
U.K. analysts Schema Consulting.

The report, Opportunities for Unified Telecoms
Services: The convergence of IP, intelligent
networks and mobile technologies, sets out to advise
mobile operators on business strategies that will justify
the investments being made in wireless data
technologies. It warns operators that they will not be
able to compete with fixed operators in data alone as
technologies like xDSL and cable modems mean that
wired data rates will continue to outstrip mobile rates.

However, Schema sees new technologies like WAP as
an excellent chance for operators to drive voice
revenues, reduce churn and provide unified telecoms
services - but will only ever generate incremental
revenues themselves.

"Mobile operators are ... going to have to think about
the ways in which mobile data can complement the
services provided over the fixed network, rather than
try to compete with them head on," said Henry
Harrison, senior consultant at Schema.

Location-based services are going to be crucial here.
For example, calls made on a personal mobile phones
could be billed to a corporate account when they are
used on-site. Another service Schema suggested was
that shopkeepers could offer free phone calls from
within their stores to attract customers to special offers.
The shopkeeper would pay the operator for the calls
with the cost off-set by increased sales.

Harrison said that pure mobile data is a gamble for
operators, especially in Europe where they are being
asked to commit billions of dollars to untested
networks and technologies as part of the auctioning of
licenses. In the U.S. operators are taking a more
evolutionary approach to 3G not requiring a massive
initial investment.

Harrison warns that "expectations for mobile data are
in danger of being over-inflated because of a focus in
top speeds for new technologies." For instance, GPRS
rates, set at around 107.2 kbps, are shared by all the
users in the cell - so the more users means a slower
actual rate. And although 3G standards make the
promise of data rates at up to 2Mbps, this is only under
ideal conditions, stationary and at the middle of the cell.

It is crucial that operators manage users expectations
now to avoid this impacting the market later.

Harrison says that operators will have to set up pricing
models that charge a premium for higher rates.
"Whatever the technology, lower speeds are cheaper
and the pricing of data services has got to follow this
model," he said.

The $500 million study was conducted over the last
five months in Europe and the U.S. and consulted
operators, ISPs and vendors as well as 700 end-users



To: tero kuittinen who wrote (2607)10/29/1999 9:44:00 PM
From: Jim Lurgio  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 34857
 
From: America's Network Magazine- Letters to the Editors

A U.S.-Centric 3G
I read Alan Pearce?s ?World War 3(G)? [Last Call, Feb. 15] with interest. The view that cdma2000 should be the new world standard struck me as so U.S.-centered.

As an international executive, I feel lost in the U.S. because I am without communications; my mobile does not work there. In the rest of the world (almost), my GSM phone works with global roaming. People can call my Australian number and the call reaches me, even if I am in Sweden, Poland or the UK.

None of my business cards from U.S. executives have a mobile phone number listed. All of my European, Asian, Australian and other non-American business colleagues do.

This reflects a sea of difference between mobile cultures in the U.S. and the rest of the world.

The article states that cdma2000 is backward-compatible to IS-95 (CDMA). What use is that to 99.9% of the world?s population? If a new worldwide digital standard should be backward-compatible with anything, it should be backward-compatible with GSM, because that?s what the majority of the world uses.

Your magazine is called America?s Network, so I guess you should represent the American interest. It is in the ordinary American?s interest to be part of a mobile standard that is worldwide. And it already exists: It is GSM. The main drawback with GSM is the lack of data comms (or low capacity). Otherwise, it works okay.

The U.S. put together Iridium to get global coverage. Europe pushed GSM. Look at the speed of subscriber uptake for Iridium; it falls far short of the uptake for GSM in any country for any operator anywhere in the world. And Iridium is sold worldwide!

W-CDMA is a totally new standard. It is mainly pushed by the suppliers. It would be great for them to get a new standard, because it means global refurbishment with new equipment. As to the technical merit of W-CDMA, I have not studied it and don?t have an opinion.

In telephony, there has been a tendency for the U.S. to adopt one set of standards versus the rest of the world. Examples: Europe and Asia have E1, while the U.S. has T1; U.S. has AMPS, while Europe and Asia have GSM; U.S. has a very fragmented network of operators, while Europe and Asia have a small number of operators with a great deal of transparency from the user?s viewpoint.

Nils Oman
CEO
Radio Design Pty Ltd.
Melbourne, Australia



To: tero kuittinen who wrote (2607)11/3/1999 9:21:00 AM
From: brian h  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 34857
 
Tero,

Do you still have any concern for QCOM now? For its IPR position and others. Face it guys. Just for the sake of it, listen to QCOM's CC. It makes you wonder where GSM is going. GSM is big and old. Yes, it has the market share. However, I sense even Tero is changing his view on CDMA's market niche. NOK will be a huge contributor to QCOM's bottom line. Welcome NOK.

Brian H.