Renewed U.S. fighting in Kosovo? Instability in Albania may spill over
By Jon E. Dougherty ¸ 1999 WorldNetDaily.com
Renewed political instability in Albania following the Oct. 25 resignation of Prime Minister Pandeli Majko may cause the internal feuding of rival groups to spill over into neighboring Kosovo and once again prompt a U.S. and NATO military response, according to a published report.
"Despite their long history of conflict, Albania's divided ethnic groups presented a united front during the war in Kosovo," said the intelligence service, Stratfor.com. "Now that the war is over, however, the country has elected the previous leadership and resumed its internal feuding. It is likely this feuding will escalate to a clash threatening to envelop Kosovo, and forcing NATO to become involved in yet another foreign ethnic conflict."
The resignation of Majko resulted in the official transfer of power "back into the hands of longtime arch-rivals Fatos Nano and Sali Berisha, who will now directly compete for control of Albania," the report said. "This event ... will have ramifications for the entire region" because of "a new and potentially violent disagreement developing between ethnic-Albanian subgroups."
According to the report, "Albania has returned to the extremist pre-Kosovo war leadership," despite the international community's efforts to ensure a more moderate administration. "The return of Nano and Berisha to power heightens the danger of political instability, both for Albania and the region."
Both men represent different ethnic groups historically opposed to each other. "Nano and Berisha are merely representations of Albania's divided ethnic groups, the Northern Ghegs and the Southern Tosks," said the report. It added: "The Tosks generally support Nano and the former communists; Berisha's supporters are mostly rural Ghegs."
With the war over, both groups appear to be poised to renew their ethnic fighting. But "in the wake of Kosovo," the report said, "NATO would likely interfere in the event of (renewed) ethnic conflict." The dilemma for NATO, however, would be in deciding which side to support.
During the war, NATO sided with Kosovar Albanians, whose ties are to Berisha but whose ranks also contain former members of the Kosovo Liberation Army, "whom (NATO) has already allowed too much power."
"On the other hand, if NATO sided with Nano, it would be supporting Communists as well as confronting the ethnic Albanian population it supported in Kosovo," the report said, adding, "Neither choice is desirable."
During the Kosovo conflict, western observers noted that the Albanians seemed helpful and generous as they took in refugees and supported their ethnic Albanian neighbors.
"The international community thought it was finally witnessing the emergence of a stable, almost healthy Albania," said the report.
"However, the tables have turned, and Albania is set to pull its neighbors into its own internal battle. NATO may again be forced to choose the lesser of two evils in a distant ethnic clash."
In a televised debate with Vice President Al Gore on Wednesday, former Sen. Bill Bradley, a contender for the Democratic Party presidential nomination in 2000, said, "We need to find ways of using multilateral institutions, like the UN, regional institutions, like NATO or in Southeast Asia, to deal with problems" -- like Kosovo -- "where we're a part of that (solution)."
"It doesn't mean that you never deploy forces," he added. "But it means that if you do deploy forces, the national interest has to be clearly at stake and has to be consistent with values. And if we're talking about the smaller areas, that it would be better to work through multilateral institutions."
Gore also supports limited intervention in ethnic conflicts. "We're the natural leader of the world. I don't think that's a chauvinist American statement, I think it's a statement of fact," he said.
"We have to accept that mantle of leadership. And when there is terrible violence in the rest of the world we have to pay careful attention to it," he added.
Patrick Buchanan, the leading contender for the Reform Party presidential nomination, told spectators during a speech in South Carolina on Wednesday he mostly disagrees with continued intervention, either in Kosovo or elsewhere.
"In the words of John Quincy Adams, our greatest Secretary of State, 'Wherever the standard of freedom and independence has been or shall be unfurled, there will [America's] heart, her benedictions, and her prayers be. But she goes not abroad in search of monsters to destroy,'" he said.
"The best way to keep the peace is to redefine war on our terms," said leading GOP nominee George W. Bush. If elected, he added, he would re-emphasize "homeland defense" as well as "project America's peaceful influence, not just across the world, but across the years." worldnetdaily.com
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