To: Bill Dalglish who wrote (46903 ) 11/1/1999 9:05:00 PM From: Bux Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
I sense the ultimate question of QCOM's future profits from CDMA will not revolve around whose technology is objectiely superior (we could argue that forever), but whether QCOM with its CDMA2000 can outfox Ericsson and Nokia with their W-CDMA in marketing third generation wireless products to the world. Bill, MarginMike has already done a good job pointing out the major misconceptions and errors in your amazingly naive post (not trying to flame you, just being bluntly honest), but your 3G world view is so distorted I feel the need to add a couple of things. You keep referring to W-CDMA as Ericsson's and Nokia's as if they own that technology. They do not. W-CDMA contains QCOM technology right to the core. W-CDMA is not how QCOM would choose to implement 3G CDMA, that's why they have CDMA2000. If Qualcomm desired, they could have stopped W-CDMA dead in it's tracks by refusing to license their IPR but they decided to allow W-CDMA to go forward and collect the same royalties from it that they receive for the other mobile CDMA standards. Why don't you understand this? As far as your favorite stock, IDC, receiving 3G royalties, I doubt it will amount to much, if anything. If IDC does get significant 3G royalties, we might actually see IDC shares trading above the price of 14 years ago. This stock desperately needs something to happen or else it will be one of the few companies to be stuck in the same range for 14 years. Something tells me these IPR claims are just another act of desperation but I just don't know. Somehow, I am just not worried enough to want to dilute my Q shares by buying inferior companies. Your post seems to indicate IDC IPR is applicable to W-CDMA, not CDMA 2000. If that is true, it is just one more reason for CDMA2000 to become the dominant standard since W-CDMA networks would have to pay Qualcomm the usual amount plus any royalties they might owe to IDC, ERICY and NOK and possibly others. Bux