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To: Uncle Frank who wrote (46919)	11/1/1999 9:17:00 PM
From: Voltaire	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 152472

Well, I just hope you are right! I had rather be rich than right. Better watch the absolutes about never predicting here again. Been there done that. V.

To: Uncle Frank who wrote (46919)	11/2/1999 2:47:00 AM
From: lurqer	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 152472

OT I have a differing opinion As an ole simulator, I try to use scenarios - (best case, best guess, worst case- one day, one week, next option expiration, 6 mo's, 12 mo's etc). I try to never get too wedded to any one scenario. In some ways the more interesting part of V's post to which you were responding was his thoughts on the 6mo's timescale. Of course, I have no way of knowing, but I'm toying with several scenarios that have deteriorated market conditions prior to that - some as early as next Feb. Not too surprising that these include AG in a prominent role. I see Q running over 250 Have my doubts, but I hope your right - you've got your *magic number* , I've got mine <VBG>. better than the Niners Policy(sp?) is out and Walsh is in - two more years and we'll know. Hey it's better than some 2-14 seasons I recall. lurking ... lurqer