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To: Paul Senior who wrote (8864)11/3/1999 1:47:00 AM
From: James Clarke  Respond to of 78616
 
Thanks - we are finally after 2 years getting a look into the depths of Paul Senior's methodology. And I like what I'm seeing. You've been very open with your stocks when you find them, but the only thing I've known about how you find them is that I would love to find out HOW you find them. But fair is fair - I'm not willing to divulge my screen and you probably aren't either. But despite the many times over the last three years you have trashed my picks (and usually those were my bad picks), one of the reasons I invest so much time into this thread is that it is the only way I can get what limited access I have to your mind, as well as that of Mike and a couple of other regular contributors who I watch carefully.

I'd ask you to throw Genuine Parts (GPC) into your screen and take a look. And don't throw this into the pile of "industrial cyclicals" until you ask yourself how cyclical is this company really? I think its not cyclical at all - clearly the market disagrees with me - they are lumping it in with auto parts manufacturers. Genuine Parts is NOT an auto parts manufacturer, though many investors think it is. I'll throw this out to others too. Spend some time evaluating the 75 year financial history on the back cover of GPC's annual report (hint: think ROE), look at their balance sheet, and then tell my why I shouldn't be buying this stock at 13x earnings.



To: Paul Senior who wrote (8864)11/3/1999 1:38:00 PM
From: Investor2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78616
 
RE: "With an ROE by Yahoo about 23% and a book value of $10, I can easily give you my screening opinion that this industrial manufacturer is worth more than the current $19 price."

OK, one more time for the slow ones, please. What is your quick calculation? (.23 x $10)/.07 ?

Thanks,

I2