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To: Giordano Bruno who wrote (73501)11/4/1999 9:13:00 AM
From: Defrocked  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 86076
 
Last night I added some forward performance numbers
to the table implied by your link. The "Hence" numbers
are approximations of the index performance for
successive years forward. For Oct'99 it's the arithmetic
average over the four "peaks". Do you like the odds???<g>

	Median	1929	1966	1973	1987	Oct-99
DJIA 381 995 1052 2722 10730
P/E 15 24 23 20 21 35
P/B 1.6 2.7 2.2 2.2 2.8 7.5
Divd% 4.1 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.8 1.2
P/S 0.9 NA 1.2 1.0 0.9 2.1
????
1 Yr. Hence -51.9% -13.0% -19.1% -21.1% -26.3%
2 Yr.Hence -72.3% -15.6% -41.4% -2.8% -33.0%
3 Yr.Hence -83.8% -6.0% -18.3% -10.3% -29.6%
4 Yr.Hence -76.9% -21.1% -4.6% 12.7% -22.4%
5 Yr.Hence -75.5% -9.1% -21.0% 18.5% -21.8%