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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zardoz who wrote (44599)11/5/1999 8:10:00 AM
From: long-gone  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116760
 
<<PS: XAU is undervalued relative to POG. Which suggests gold may well go lower, or the XAU will climb? >>

Just like you, I've been watching this relationship very closely. I agree at the current price of gold there is a VERY BIG undervaluation problem with XAU. What I'm not understanding is NO ONE in the "broad" money press and analyst community has mentioned the relationship between extraction cost of the mining firms, profit, & POG.
There have been a great many business days this quarter with gold selling at $40-70 above the cost of production. Barring hedge postions(some of which have been widely reported), the minimum profits which will be shown by some of the mining firms are currently able to be PROJECTED!

This I here-by publicly "predict":
1. There will be SOME INCREDIBLE blow-outs of every possible earnings estimate by some of the top mining firms.
2. the reporting of earnings surprizes will be reported at the following levels:
a: CNBC - none at all
b: Bloomberg - lightly,& only ABX, PDG, AU first two if numbers are met.
c: CNN - maybe AU unless they "fail"
d: Fox News - none at all
e: all investment shows PBS - none at all
f: Wall St. Urinal - none at all
g: IBD - none at all
h: Individual Investor - none at all
i: Worth Mag. - ABX maybe.
Why bother going on. there will be no press.



To: Zardoz who wrote (44599)11/6/1999 7:38:00 PM
From: TATRADER  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116760
 
Hutch, just popped in for a moment..Getting up at 4 A.M. and headed off to East Lansing for the day on spiritual business...My stop on NEM got taken out for flat on Friday....If they take out 20.50 on Monday, will try and nail the reversal...Don't have time to take the chance of being tortured...I have always appreciated your comments on this thread, and will shortly go back to lurking mode...One question, could you explain the process you use to determine that the XAU was undervalued to present price of POG...Am always trying to pick up technical pointers....

Take care and have a good weekend....Mark