To: lee kramer who wrote (70063 ) 11/6/1999 9:48:00 PM From: marcos Respond to of 120523
Lee, i'll take a run at answering these if that's ok, i follow and hold the stock too. "(1) Was the mutual fund selling, (roughly 550,000 shares) responsible for the decline in share price from $1.00+ in early April '99 to the current 1.04? That's a rather disturbing decline, though not if the insiders were buying as the fund was selling. "chart.canada-stockwatch.com No, i don't think it was just the funds [plural] selling from late April to early June, i sold some myself early in that period as did keith massey, the author of those posts. It was fairly apparent that they were in an early stage of the business plan at that point, the AGM was in mid-April and the 1.12 top came in anticipation of news of a deal at the AGM. Didn't happen, stock sold off. Quite predictable, imho. Then through the summer the volume was above any fund holdings, though the funds were a significant factor weighing on the price, imho, but probably not the only one. People just get tired of waiting at different rates, maybe. I am mystified as to why anyone would sell to me through August and September at those prices. But they did. "(2) A quick analysis of the balance sheet indicates that with 30 million (pre-diluted) shares, the stock has a book value in excess of $1.50. I have no problem with stocks selling at a discount to book, but this again is an extraordinary discount. Are so many missing so much? " Lee, i don't know where you got that figure, but it is incorrect imho. As per the most recently reported figures from the website - jordex.com - they have 18.9 millions Cdn in cash ... then there's the million US they put into medsite, roughly 1.5 Cdn, and the retained interest in Loma de Níquel which they have on the books at 1 million Cdn. So that's roughly .71 Cdn/sh. They hold the cash in US-denominated instruments, so the Cdn figure will fluctuate with exchange rates somewhat [hence the 'loss' in the last reported quarter], but the US figure doesn't. But a book value over 1.50 - i think not. The value to the play is in the people and the business plan, imho. Here's the direct link to their sedars [Cdn equivalent of edgar] - sedar.com ... cheers