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To: John Finley who wrote (911)11/7/1999 3:31:00 PM
From: kinkblot  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1820
 
From "One Up on Wall Street"

page 259, When to Sell a Fast Grower:

Unlike the cyclical where the p/e ratio gets smaller near the end, in a growth company the p/e usually gets bigger, and it may reach absurd and illogical dimensions. Remember Polaroid and Avon Products. P/e's of 50 for companies of their size? Any astute fourth-grader could have figured it was time to sell those. Was Avon going to sell a million bottles of perfume? How could it, when every other housewife in America was an Avon representative?

In a portfolio that I recently sold, not a single stock had a p/e of less than 50. Compared to the typical tech investor, I probably had more of a value weighting, e.g. RSAS versus VRSN. For those who don't have an astute fourth-grader available, perhaps Lynch can be modified for the new era by multiplying all the ratios by 5 or so, and using future instead of trailing results.

WT