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To: upanddown who wrote (54330)11/10/1999 6:39:00 AM
From: oilbabe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Crude Oil Gains as U.S. Fuel Supplies Drop, Global Surplus Ends

London, Nov. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose for the third
straight day, to its highest level since January 1997, as a drop
in inventories signaled output cuts by the world's top exporters
have eliminated a global surplus.

U.S. supplies of fuels such as heating oil dropped more than
expected last week, the American Petroleum Institute said last
night, a sign of rising demand ahead of colder winter months. The
API figures come after the International Energy Agency said
inventories of crude oil in developed countries fell 1.2 million
barrels a day in September, reducing the total by 4 percent.
``Crude looks set to gallop on,' said Jack Kellett, a
trader at Credit Lyonnais Rouse Ltd. ``There's no shortage of
bullish data at the moment.'

Crude oil for December settlement rose as much as 22 cents
to $24.35 a barrel on the International Petroleum Exchange, its
highest price since Jan. 13, 1997. Crude oil for December
delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange was 27 cents higher
at $24.30 a barrel in electronic trading.

The gain boosted oil companies' shares in Europe. Shell
Transport & Trading rose as much as 15 pence, or 3.3 percent, to
477 pence; Elf Aquitaine SA rose as much as 3.6 euros, or 2.5
percent, to 163.2; and BP Amoco gained as much as 18 pence, or 3
percent, to 614 pence.

Crude oil has more than doubled oil this year from a 12-year
low in December, marking a victory for the Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries. OPEC, with four other nations, cut
about 7 percent of world supply in April from February 1998
levels to boost prices and force refiners to use up stored fuel.

The API report showed U.S. supplies of gasoline and
distillate fuels fell last week by a combined 7.7 million
barrels, more than double the increase of 3.1 million barrels in
crude oil inventories. Analysts had predicted a reduction in U.S.
fuel supplies of as much as 350,000 barrels.
``The drawdown in fuels was friendly to the market,' said
Kevin Blemkin, a broker with Cannon Bridge Corp. Ltd.

Available global stockpiles of crude oil and other petroleum
products now stand at about 81 days of consumption, down from 86
days at the beginning of the year and their lowest level since
late 1997, according to London's Centre for Global Energy
Studies, which considers 80 days the normal level.

As OPEC has promised to maintain its production cuts at
least until the end of March, inventories will continue to drop,
reaching about 78 days early next year, CGES said.

Still, an end to the cuts next year would likely cause
prices to drop. The price of Brent is expected to average $18.16
a barrel in 2000, according to the average estimate of eight
analysts polled by Bloomberg News yesterday. While that's 4
percent higher than the $17.47 a barrel average nine analysts
forecast in August, it's 25 percent below the current price.

U.S. imports of petroleum products fell 568,000 barrels to
1.55 million barrels a day, the API said, the lowest level since
June. Tight supplies in Europe have sent the price of Brent
futures above those in New York, making it less profitable to
export to refiners in the U.S.

Brent typically trades at a discount of between $1 and $1.50
a barrel below the higher quality West Texas Intermediate grade
traded in New York. Brent this week climbed above New York crude
for only the second time in 17 months.