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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John F. Dowd who wrote (33650)11/10/1999 1:20:00 PM
From: johnd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
JFD, the way the market works is that there are times when
comapnies are great but sentiments are the other extreme.
Those are the best times to buy more. If sentiments were
great today, the stock would have been at 80 PE or about 120
considering that trailing esp of 1.51, successful expedia
ipo, msft's guidance for Dec. Q, prospects of windows2000

Wall street will catchup. We, indviduals should be ahead
of wall street to make big killings.



To: John F. Dowd who wrote (33650)11/10/1999 4:30:00 PM
From: t2  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74651
 
JFD, It appears that MSFT is not going anywhere fast for a short while. The only scenario that could push it higher near term appears to be a settlement. Otherwise holding out for a win might not do the company much good in the near but will result in bigger gains later on.
I am still holding some shares but am not expecting much at least for a week. I might add a bit more next week after the selling phase is over.

Unlike past years, general market or tech declines don't move in sync with MSFT. Now market gains don't allow MSFT to move up.
Therefore, I am expecting some sort of announcement from MSFT that will boost the stock price but i will wait a bit longer.

It would seem odd for an announcement of a stock buy back coming from Microsoft but it appears likely.



To: John F. Dowd who wrote (33650)11/10/1999 5:54:00 PM
From: taxman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
dell revenue expected to be up 45%. do you think any of dell's computer shipments might contain microsoft software?

regards

Round Rock, Texas, Nov. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Following is the
outlook for Dell Computer Corp.'s fiscal third-quarter earnings,
which are expected to be released tomorrow.

Expected Earnings

Dell will report that net income in the quarter ended Oct.
29 fell to an estimated 11 cents to 13 cents a share because of
costs associated with an acquisition.

The world's biggest direct-seller of personal computers had
net income of $348 million, or 14 cents, in the year-earlier
period, adjusted for a 2-for-1 stock split in March.

Analysts polled by First Call Corp. expect profit of 18
cents in the recent quarter excluding the acquisition costs. Dell
has said it will take a charge of about 5 cents to 7 cents a
share for the purchase of ConvergeNet Technologies Inc. The
purchase was completed Oct. 27.

Time

Dell is expected to release earnings at about 4:15 p.m. New
York time tomorrow.

Behind the numbers

Analysts predict Dell's sales will rise about 45 percent
from the $4.82 billion a year ago. Dell warned investors Oct. 18
that third-quarter earnings would be hurt by rising prices for
memory chips. Before the warning, most analysts expected the
company to earn 20 cents a share.

Dell's growth has slowed this year, slipping from the 50
percent increases it reported for each quarter in 1998 and 1997.

What the Experts Say
``It's certainly not been a disastrous year. But when you
look at some of the dot-coms and other technology issues, it's
underperforming them,' said Tim Ghriskey, a portfolio manager
for Dreyfus Corp., which owns about 3.8 million Dell shares.

Previous Market Reaction

Dell shares rose 8.4 percent Aug. 18, a day after the
company reported a 47 percent rise in fiscal second-quarter
profit, topping analysts' forecasts.

Market Performance

Dell, the best-performing member of the Standard & Poor's
500 Index in each of the past three years, is heading for its
worst stock performance since 1993.

The stock has risen 13 percent so far this year, compared
with a 212 percent rise in the year-earlier period. The shares
rose 7/8 to 41 7/16 in recent trading.

¸1999 Bloomberg L.P.