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To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (29661)11/11/1999 6:38:00 AM
From: Riskmgmt  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 50167
 
Ike:

Thank you for your kind words.

Regarding P & F. All indicators are positive, in "X's" meaning that, DEMAND is outstripping SUPPLY "0's". These are the two things that we focus on. All short term indicators, AS WELL AS, the big daddy, long term indicator, the NYSEBP are all positive. In addition, many SECTORS are now turning positive. In P & F we look for strong stocks in strong sectors, when we long.

There are many buys right now. Tom Dorsey notes bullish triangles on 3 this a.m. on his site. Qwest is the one I remember. But some double top "buys" are SUNW, CSCO, INTC, CPTH, EMC,EXTR,GMST.

As you know Ike, P & F does not address fundamentals so homework is required there. Also, for anyone who is reading this and who is unfamiliar with P & F, it is often wise to wait for a pullback on strong stocks for optimum entry. Or as Judy would say "proper entry"-God I miss her- and now Jerry disappeared what is going on? Probably retired to some Caribbean Island with all stock profits. <GGG>

Don't you ever disappear on us Ike. We know where you live.<GGGG>

Hope this has been of some use,

Ray



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (29661)11/11/1999 6:11:00 PM
From: the options strategist  Respond to of 50167
 
On Drugs and BioTechs

This week, we have a special feature article contributed by our friend and
colleague, Edward Kenna. "NEW VISTAS IN CANCER TREATMENT: INTRODUCTION"
is the first part of a series of articles that will detail how modern
biotechnology is being brought to bear on cancer treatment and prevention.
Some exciting strides have been and are being made on this front, and we
should expect to see even broader progress with new cancer treatment
modalities advancing in human clinical trials. The current article
presents a timely and clearly written introduction to the cancer treatment
arena, and sets the stage for the next article, which will focus on the
use of antibodies for treating cancer.

We strongly encourage readers to take time out to watch a PBS television
special series on life, called "Intimate Strangers: Unseen Life on Earth"
which is airing as a four-part series this month. The first part ("The
Tree of Life") was shown on Tuesday, and focused on how all forms of life
share the same basic heritage and machinery. Fascinating analogies were
made between genomes and musical scores, with an organism's genome
containing a "recorded history" of that organism's genetic heritage. Dr.
Craig Venter, President of Celera Genomics (CRA), was among a number of
scientists interviewed, and commented on the significance of knowing the
entire human genome sequence. For schedule of upcoming programs, go to
the PBS web site: pbs.org. For more
information about the series, go to:
pbs.org

====================================

1. BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB AND MILLENNIUM: CANCER ALLIANCE

PRNewswire -- BRISTOL- MYERS SQUIBB (BMY: $77, +1, +2%) and Millennium
Predictive Medicine, Inc., known as MPMx, a majority-owned subsidiary of
MILLENNIUM PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. (MLNM: $77, unchanged), today announced
they have entered into a unique alliance in the emerging field of cancer
pharmacogenomics. This is the use of genetic information to develop new
anticancer therapies to treat specific patient populations or tumor types,
or to tailor existing therapies to individual patients. Bristol-Myers
Squibb, the world leader in cancer therapies, is collaborating with MPMx,
a world leader in the new field of predictive medicine, to apply this
exciting new research approach to some of Bristol-Myers Squibb's oncology
drugs in development and to marketed products.

The Bristol-Myers Squibb/MPMx collaboration is the first integrated
application of cancer pharmacogenomics utilizing new medicines and
existing therapies. The alliance will coordinate the development of
therapeutic products and pharmacogenomic tests. Therapeutic products
resulting from this alliance will be brought to market by Bristol-Myers
Squibb. Pharmacogenomic tests will be brought to market by one or more
leading diagnostics companies, selected by MPMx and Bristol-Myers Squibb.

During the five-year term of the alliance, Bristol-Myers Squibb will
provide MPMx with $32 million in license fees, annual fees, and research
funding. This is believed to be one of the largest pharmacogenomics
alliances to date.

The goal of the partnership is to identify and validate oncology clinical
markers - genes or proteins - that can help predict patients' responses to
specific cancer treatment regimens and aid the development of new cancer
therapies. By integrating clinical markers and genomic technology into
the treatment of cancer, therapies could be tailored to individual
patients, thereby boosting efficacy and reducing side effects.

COMMENT: This newly-announced alliance exemplifies the trend toward
personalization of medicine at the genetic level. Much is to be gained by
studying the relationship between an individual's specific genetic makeup
and response to cancer chemotherapy. The key concept is that therapies
could be tailored to individual patients. This same sort of
pharmacogenomic approach can be developed for other diseases, such as
those caused by infectious agents. Both Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) and
Millennium Pharmaceuticals (MLNM) are in The Bull Market Drug and Biotech
Portfolio.

====================================
====================================

2. AMGEN: LONGER ACTING VERSION OF KEY DRUG

AMGEN (AMGN: $88, +2, +2%) announced data from a phase 3 clinical trial
of its Novel Erythropoiesis Stimulating Protein (NESP). These data
suggest that NESP, a new molecule with a prolonged biological half life
which stimulates production of red blood cells, safely maintained
hemoglobin levels (number of red blood cells) as effectively as
recombinant epoetin alfa (EPO) with less frequent dosing (weekly or once
every two weeks compared to 1-3 times per week).

In a randomized controlled study of 522 hemodialysis and peritoneal
dialysis patients conducted in Europe and Australia, maintenance of
hemoglobin level, weekly dose requirement and the frequency of dose
changes in the NESP and EPO groups were similar regardless of route of
administration, even among NESP patients treated every other week. Due to
its three-fold longer half-life compared to EPO, NESP permits longer
dosing intervals. Amgen is completing worldwide clinical trials of NESP
in chronic renal failure patients on dialysis as well as patients with
chronic renal insufficiency, a condition in which patients' kidney
function is compromised but does not yet require dialysis treatment.
Amgen is also conducting clinical trials of NESP in oncology.

COMMENT: Epoetin alfa (EPO) has been a huge drug for Amgen. NESP could
be a key follow-up drug to EPO. Reduced frequency of dosing is
particularly helpful with injectable drugs.

====================================
====================================

3. PFIZER MAY PURSUE HOSTILE WARNER-LAMBERT TAKEOVER BID

PFIZER (PFE, $35, unchanged) said it may take its $75 billion all-stock
bid for WARNER-LAMBERT (WLA) directly to shareholders as Warner-Lambert
stood by its plan to merge with American Home Products (AHP). Pfizer has
to decide whether to launch an exchange offer or a proxy fight. Pfizer
last week made an unsolicited bid to take over Warner-Lambert just hours
after Warner-Lambert had unveiled plans to merge with American Home
Products in a $70 billion stock deal.

COMMENT: In the opinion of a few well known money managers, the battle
shaping up may only be in the early stages. We expect them to raise their
bid. WLA at $92 may look cheap in a few days.

====================================
====================================

4. AMERICAN HOME PRODUCTS: VACCINE FOR CHILDREN

A new vaccine to prevent a major cause of meningitis, pneumonia and other
infections in children won the endorsement of a U.S. Food and Drug
Administration panel Friday. The vaccine, called Prevenar and made by
American Home Products (AHP: $55, +1, +2%), aims to stop infection by
pneumococcus, a common bacterium that can cause a variety of serious
illnesses. A panel of vaccine experts deemed Prevenar safe and effective,
calling it an important weapon against infections that kill more than a
million children worldwide every year and which are growing resistant to
antibiotics.

A Centers for Disease Control and Prevention panel has recommended the
vaccine be given to all healthy infants under age five. Prevenar would
likely be an important product for AHP, drug industry analysts said.
Revenues from Prevenar sales are expected to reach several hundred million
dollars in the near future.

For Prevenar, a study of more than 38,000 children in found the vaccine
was 97 percent effective in preventing infections from the seven strains
of pneumococcus that the vaccine targets. Those strains cause more than
80 percent of pneumococcal infections, including serious bloodstream
infections, pneumonia, meningitis and middle-ear infections. Recommended
administration is four doses of Prevenar given at two, four, six and 12-15
months.

COMMENT: Prevenar is a very important new vaccine that has the potential
to save a large number of lives every year.

====================================
====================================

5. NEW VISTAS IN CANCER TREATMENT: INTRODUCTION
By Edward Kenna

Nearly thirty years ago, with the nation flush from the success of
its lunar landings, President Nixon announced a national initiative and
increased funding to find a cure for cancer. As the years went by,
expectations for quick success in this "War on Cancer" were shown to have
been naive. Frustratingly little was known about the fundamental nature
of cancer. Just what made a cancer cell different from a normal cell?
What caused the myriad forms of cancer? How were they different from each
other? Why were some harder to treat than others? What was the genetic
makeup of cancer? Back in the early 1970's, researchers had only vague
clues and advances in our knowledge brought more questions than answers.

But now, as the turn of the century is upon us, the labor of
thousands of doctors and researchers has revolutionized our understanding
of these dreaded diseases known collectively as cancer. Just as
electrical engineers and physicists have brought computers and wireless
technologies into our lives that would have seemed magical only 10 years
ago, so too biologists and chemists have been making advances in
understanding the human body and its diseases, in many cases literally
molecule by molecule. Today the battle against cancer is being waged on
at least five different fronts, with the pace of progress quickening every
day. It's conceivable that by the second decade of the next century,
nearly all cancers will be, if not curable, then at least manageable
diseases.

Our traditional means of fighting cancer are being improved. The use
of computer technology is making radiation treatments more effective and
less onerous. Liposomal formulations of conventional chemotherapy drugs
such as cisplatin and doxorubicin are moving through clinical trials;
these formulations may offer lower toxicity and increased efficacy. Other
researchers have put chemotherapy drugs into films and gels; these are
then implanted at the disease site after surgery or injected into tumors.
This delivers a higher concentration of drug to the tumors while
decreasing systemic side effects. Other new forms of chemotherapy
including topoisomerase inhibitors, which interfere with DNA replication
in rapidly dividing cells, and antisense compounds that block the activity
of key genes or enzymes in certain cancers, are also advancing through
clinical trials.

The likelihood of successful cancer treatment has always been
enhanced by early detection. Most of the forms of cancer that can now be
treated successfully, such as melanoma, breast, and cervical, are
diagnosed before they have metastasized, or spread. New means of early
detection, such as scanning procedures for imaging the lung and new blood
tests that detect proteins made by cancer cells before the cancer would
even be visible to the eye, are just beginning to appear. Earlier
detection of many types of cancers will save thousands of lives.

But the real promise of biotechnology for the treatment of cancer is
in three other areas that are raising the hopes of oncology researchers
and gaining the attention of the investment community. They are: 1)
antibodies specifically created to combat different types of cancer cells;
2) cancer vaccines designed to make the body produce its own immune
response against cancer; and 3) angiogenesis inhibitors, which interfere
with the blood supply to solid tumors. There are literally dozens of
companies working in these areas, hoping to create a blockbuster drug
which will be much more important to cancer patients than any incremental
advance in chemotherapy or radiation - and also make fortunes for
themselves and their investors.

All five of these areas, particularly the last three, merit our
attention as long-term investors in drug and biotech companies. It would
be impossible to cover all of the important work being done in any one of
them, let alone all five. Also it's important to remember that much of
the research going on in oncology is secret - large drug companies have
all the money they need for research and have no reason to reveal what
they're doing, whereas many biotech companies are constantly trying to
raise money and are thus eager to tell their story to the public. But
given those limitations, I'd like to discuss some of the major activity in
these areas. Next week, I will give an overview of efforts to use
antibodies to treat cancer.

Edward Kenna is an investment professional with Access Securities. He has
broad knowledge and experience in biotechnology investment.

====================================
====================================

6. DRUG AND BIOTECH PORTFOLIO SCORECARD; UPCOMING ARTICLES

Today's scorecard for the Drug and Biotech Investor Portfolio:

Name Symbol Last Chg. %Chg.

Affymetrix AFFX 77 -1 -1
Amgen AMGN 88 +2 +2
Biomira BIOM 2.6 0 -1
B-M Squibb BMY 77 +1 +2
Celera Genomics CRA 39 +1 +2
Genentech DNA 76 -1 -1
Gilead Sciences GILD 47 0 0
Human Genome HGSI 92 +4 +4
ImClone Systems IMCL 28 0 -1
Medimmune MEDI 103 +3 +3
Millennium MLNM 77 0 0
Merck MRK 78 0 -1
Pfizer PFE 35 0 0
Viropharma VPHM 19 -1 -5

We will continue to discuss new approaches to cancer treatment including
immunotherapy, vaccines, and anti-angiogenesis in upcoming issues. In a
few years' time, we expect that these and other developments will
revolutionize the treatment of cancer.

====================================

Eddy Arnold invites comments or feedback about The Bull Market Drug and
Biotech Investor and can be reached by e-mail at
BiotechInvestor@Bull-Market.com.

Dr. Eddy Arnold is a Professor of Chemistry at Rutgers University and a
Resident Faculty Member at the Center for Advanced Biotechnology and
Medicine in Piscataway, NJ. He works in research areas in biochemistry,
chemistry, and medicine, with an emphasis on enhancing drug and vaccine
development through fundamental scientific studies, and a particular focus
on diseases caused by viruses including AIDS and the common cold.

=======================================================================

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Disclaimer: Dr. Eddy Arnold invests in many of the stocks described in
The Drug and Biotech Investor. He has consulted with and collaborated with
a number of the companies in the portfolio. All of the material provided
here is obtained from documents in the public domain.

The Bull Market Report, LLC is not a registered Investment Adviser or a
Broker/Dealer. Readers are advised that the report is issued solely for
informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or
the solicitation of an offer to buy. The opinions and analyses included
herein are based from sources believed to be reliable and written in good
faith, but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied is made as
to their accuracy, completeness or correctness.

Readers are urged to consult with their own independent financial advisors
with respect to any investment. All information contained in this report
should be independently verified with the companies mentioned. From time
to time, owners and employees of The Bull Market Report may own shares in
stocks discussed in the newsletter. But we wish you to know that The Bull
Market Report is taking no compensation of any kind from any companies
that we mention in this report.

(C) Copyright 1999 The Drug and Biotech Investor and The Bull Market
Report, LLC.

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