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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (33200)	11/11/1999 5:57:00 PM
From: donald sew	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Heinz, Today the DOT significantly lagged behind the NAZ, while the SEMI's was the main subsector to fuel the NAZ. I have a question - with the SOX up about 200% from last OCT lows Im wondering if it is near a cycle top. I have heard that semis are cyclical in nature, some subsectors more than others. Im hearing from those bearish that the NAZ may go alot higher, which as you eluded to, could be a contrarian indicator. When the SOX does hit a top, that could fuel significant downside. I dont have any long term data on the semis to determine if there is a statiscally viable pattern. If anyone does, please share it. seeya