SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Verve who wrote (49251)11/11/1999 9:35:00 PM
From: Voltaire  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 152472
 
Sorry Ron,

I had to rush outside, this lady's puppy got hit by a golf cart. Geez! I think it will be OK.

I left out the most important number on the post. That is 4 and I know I don't have to tell you what that is.

163 x 5 + 4 = 1467 divided by 3 = $489

The 4 is the only Concrete number in the formula the rest are abstract numbers based on TIME, TIME and MOTION, PSYCHOLOGY, SPATIAL ACUITY and LIMITS.

Now which number do you think is the summation of Psychology? You got it, the biggest number ( 1467 ), because that is the biggest thing in play here up to one day after the split. The rest of the terms are applied in weighted average form depending on what Market I am in. It can be the salvage markets, commodity markets and yes even the stock markets, basically any kind of market when one needs to know how far, how fast, how much and how long something might entail. I do not want to get into how I arrive at the other values because like my son has told me many times, Dad, you can't teach that so don't try and besides everyone will think you are nuts.

I developed this technique out of necessity from my days as a Salvor,
Handling or disposing of Salvage for the large property Insurance companies around the world, or as a Restoration Expert. An example: When I had to put in a NOT TO EXCEED bid on The World Trade Center buildings after the bombing in less than 24 hours, I could count on this technique to tell me how many people I would need to work per day, (3,000), how long, (21 days), how big, (210 acres of structure and contents)but mainly and the Most Important, after 21 days WHAT PRICE OR WE GOING TO BE At. In other words, did we make any money. The answer is yes, it turned out to be about a $20 million job. I never got a second chance, it had to be right or we lost our ass. Most people bidding large jobs like that would have at least several days, mind was always Crisis oriented and I did not have that luxury.

On the above mentioned loss, the big number would not have been Psychology, it would have been a time variable but much larger than the 3 you saw in my formula. The psychology number would have been much smaller. That is not to say there was not a Psychology factor at The World Trade Center, there was and it's weighted average was based on bringing supervisors in from all over the country who maybe had not worked or even been in New York before. Also the Psychology of working in one of the most important Financial Centers in the world, but a much smaller factor. Another example that would influence that number three or Time is where you are working. Which job would carry the highest Time factor, a job in Iowa or a Job in Brazil. Please, the job in Brazil because the work ethic in Iowa is so much better.

At any rate, I do not won't to bore you people with it but that gives you a pretty good idea of where I am coming from plus a little feel.

The two factors driving Q is Psychology and Time. Only up to the time of the split and the you have to what - DIVIDE!

Voltaire



To: The Verve who wrote (49251)11/11/1999 11:35:00 PM
From: YlangYlangBreeze  Respond to of 152472
 
>>EVERYONE wants a piece of the 'next' Microsof<<

Having heard Qualcomm compared to Microsoft so many times, just for giggles I searched on the phrase "the next Microsoft." I quickly found the following comparisons:

Netscape (Dec 1995)
Disney (July 1996)
Intelligent Vehicle Systems (Dec 1996 )
Sun (1998)
Redhat (March 1999)
AOL (April 1999)
Cisco (May 1999)

Remember when Cadillac ran the ad: It's the Cadillac of cars? Q is in a league of its own. Okay Okay, I suppose the Qualcomm-Microsoft comparison is inevitable following the commonly stated view that wireless communication will be to the decade ahead what the PC was to the 1990's .

I personally beleive Q has a potential that may well exceed Microsoft for the following very unscientific reason. Communication is a more basic human need than calculation. In the jungles of who knows where, a stone age tribe had a sophisticated system of sending messages and news through drums but stil counetd on their fingers and toes. (Go ask Leonard Nimoy which village.) That's all there is to my reason.

Even if Bill gates is NOT the devil incarnate, and Windows 2000 does NOT require a security chip embedded in the wrist or forehead, in anticipation of millenium/armageddon commodity rationing, I'd prefer not to have Q be like Microsoft. I'd like to think it's too limiting. (prrrrr)