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To: Daniel Mack who wrote (14955)11/14/1999 6:59:00 PM
From: KevinThompson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57584
 
Daniel, I would echo many of your sentiments. My most successful trades have been when I had absolute confidence in what my outcome would be and didn't let myself be detoured by fear and emotion. I don't have a crystal ball, but some plays you just know where it's going. My best example is the LIOX trade I made earlier in the summer. It was mentioned by Kaliico. Over the weekend after the mention, I spent a lot of time reading everything I could about them. The more I read the more I was absolutely convinced of the opportunity for gains I would have in the trade. (Several very positive elements to the play at the time - QP play, low float, IPO'd on a bad day, IPO'd at reduced number of shares and price, etc. etc..) Therefore, I bought. Then it went down from where I bought. So, I bought more, then I bought more, and yet bought some more when it really began to rise. It wiggled up and down, but unlike many of my other trades - I didn't care because I was totally convinced of where it was going as we neared the end of the QP.

I did quite well! But if I hadn't been so confident, I'd have either taken a loss when it went down or I'd have missed the big run. Very difficult to trade with reason and confidence when your emotions, especially that of fear, grab hold of you.

Of the many losses I've taken over my experience of trading, many of those issues would have become gains for me if only I had put aside my fear and held on. I got killed in Oct 98 for that very reason. This year, even looking at several trades that were showing very ugly, I held on and they came back as winners.

However, sometimes a healthy dose of caution is good medicine. But once the trigger is pulled, seems like the performance is much better when confident than when turning wishy-washy and not having a plan to stick to.

Just my thoughts,
KevinT