Intel Corporation
by Joy Aiken
Memory is on everyone's mind today as global geekdom converges on Las Vegas for über-computer tradeshow Comdex. The industry's preoccupation with memory has little to do with aging baby boomers and lots to do with computer games and the much-anticipated release of Microsoft's Windows 2000 operating system. It seems that computer memory needs some cyber-ginkgo.
That's because over the last decade, semiconductor czar Intel has accelerated microprocessor speeds by a factor of 200. But a computer's speed is also dependent on memory — especially main memory, the hard drive's data and instruction storage area (and the particular focus of industry angst).
Currently most PCs use 64-bit DRAM (dynamic random access memory). But plain old DRAM no longer cuts the processing mustard, and several new technologies have emerged to vie for market share.
Intel is expected to use Comdex to introduce Camino, its chipset (an electronic bridge between a PC's microprocessor and main memory) that supports a new memory architecture called Rambus DRAM (RDRAM). Rambus memory was invented by a company also called Rambus, which licenses the technology. This architecture — a subsystem combining a memory chip and controller — seems to have the most backing as the next memory standard. In fact, some analysts predict that Rambus will have 50% of the DRAM market by 2001.
Rambus memory, designed to work with Intel's Pentium and new Coppermine 733 MHz microprocessors, is superfast, reaching speeds of up to 1.6 billion bytes a second. And having Intel and top PC makers such as Dell and Hewlett-Packard in its corner puts Rambus ahead of the pack. Oki Electric Industry is among the more than 30 companies that license Rambus interface technology for use, for example, in system-on-a-chip products (which combine a microprocessor with memory and logic chips in a single unit). But Rambus is more expensive than DRAM, and it requires a new chipset and different connector modules on the motherboard. To bring Rambus chips to market, chip makers have had to invest in new equipment, and PC makers have had to invest in new product designs.
But in September, just as Intel was about to release the Camino chipset, a technological problem was discovered when a third memory slot was used (new Rambus motherboards contain only two slots). The glitch sent chills through the PC and chip industries. Samsung, NEC, and Oki quickly halted Rambus memory production, and Rambus-based PCs, expected in October, were delayed. Some PC makers had to sacrifice motherboards that needed a Rambus chip. Dell and Toshiba stuck by Rambus, but IBM turned to Intel rival VIA Technologies for alternative chipsets. Intel's $500 million investment in Micron Technology and a $100 million investment in Samsung, however, helped ensure industry support.
Still, the rumble over Rambus revved up industry interest in two competing technologies.
PC133 SDRAM (SDRAM is synchronized with a microprocessor's optimal clock speed), while not as fast as Rambus, has won some major backing. IBM is basing its desktop PC line on the PC133, and Dell has chosen the chip for some of its servers. This memory chip is cheaper than Rambus, is readily available, and doesn't require a special chipset. Companies that offer chipsets that support PC133 SDRAM include VIA Technologies and Acer. The PC133 SDRAM is also expected to have chipset support that will enable it to work with Advanced Micro Devices' K7 Athlon microprocessors.
A third memory technology — Double Data Rate SDRAM, or DDR SDRAM — may prove to be Rambus' bigger challenger. Some independent tests have shown that DDR SDRAM is as much as 30% faster than Rambus. Nintendo's next-generation game console will use one of NEC's DDR SDRAMs. IBM is expected to choose this faster chip for its new server line.
So while Rambus looks like the memory chip for the new millennium, most companies are hedging their bets. For example, NEC is investing facilities to produce both Rambus and SDRAM, and IBM will use both memories in its PC lines. Even Intel has bowed to the market, announcing a PC133 SDRAM chipset (the Solano, due out early next year), with a DDR SDRAM chipset expected to follow.
Intel's shares ended the week at $75.50, down $3.94 following a downgrade by Merrill Lynch. Rambus closed Friday at $88, down 75 cents.
Joy Aiken is a writer for Hoover's editorial staff.
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