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Technology Stocks : 24/7 Media, Inc. (TFSM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: $Mogul who wrote (304)11/16/1999 9:05:00 AM
From: Richard Tai  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 669
 
these are excerpts from blodget's most recent report on tfsm. so it looks like at least one guy on the street is wondering a little himself.

24/7 Media – 10 November 1999

the stock remains undervalued relative to its peers
by a number of methodologies. The recent flurry of deals in the
sector also obviously make 24/7 an attractive acquisition
candidate. In response to a question about the competitive
landscape, management mentioned that it would consider
attractive alternatives to “maximize shareholder value”.

24/7 is trading at approximately 8x 2000E revenue,
as compared to Doubleclick, which is trading at about 22x
consensus 2000E revenues. (We would point out that the
Doubleclick multiple could be overstated, as consensus revenues
do not fully reflect the NetGravity and Abacus Direct
acquisitions.) Compared to 24/7, Doubleclick has 5x the scale,
2x the gross margin, 2x-3x the long-term operating margin, and is
nearing profitability. We do not think the valuation discrepancy
should necessarily be as stark as it currently is, however,
especially in light of Flycast's sale to CMGI for approximately
18x 2000E consensus revenues.

We believe 24/7 has substantial value on a breakup basis as well.
24/7 owns 1.6 million shares of China.com and 5.2 million shares
of Shopnow.com, together worth approximately $170 million.
The public market value of Yesmail (its most direct competitor)
suggests $45 per email address, or a valuation of almost $600
million for 24/7 Mail. $1.3 billion in total market value for 24/7
less its public investments and the value of the Mail business
implies a residual value of only $530 million for the Ad Network
business, or only 3.8x the over $140 million we expect it will
generate next year.