To: Think4Yourself who wrote (54820 ) 11/16/1999 12:35:00 PM From: Winkman777 Respond to of 95453
SSB speaks: RIG and FLC ssb report on rig by: market_guy (M/Big D suburb) 11/16/1999 10:35 am EST Msg: 9587 of 9587 Salomon Smith Barney Tuesday, November 16, 1999 --SUMMARY:--Transocean Offshore Inc.--Offshore Drilling *By year-end, we anticipate Transocean will complete its merger with Sedco-Forex Offshore. *Transocean Sedco-Forex will have the largest deepwater market share (23%), with a strong presence in all major producing basins. *In our opinion, a technically advanced fleet will yield industry leadership as offshore drilling moves into deeper waters. *We believe deepwater rig demand will rise sharply in 2001, offering Transocean strong earnings potential. *Our initial 2000 and 2001 EPS estimates for Transocean Sedco-Forex are $1.00 and $2.40, respectively, compared to $1.25 and $2.25 for Transocean stand-alone. *We reiterate our 1M investment rating and $44 price target. Salomon Smith Barney Tuesday, November 16, 1999 --SUMMARY:--R&B Falcon--Offshore Drilling *R&B Falcon operates the world's largest offshore rig fleet, with 23 deepwater rigs, 42 jackups, and 59 other shallow water units. *An ambitious expansion plan has built significant debt; however,liquidity issues have been resolved, in our opinion, and capital spending plans funded. *FLC has among the strongest operating leverage in our coverage universe, particularly to domestic shallow water and worldwide ultra-deepwater. *Recent rig farm-outs at $180,000-$195,000 day rates suggest that ultra-deepwater demand is rising faster than expected, and mat cantilever jackup prices have doubled in the last two months. *We are raising our investment opinion to 2H from 3S. Our new target price is $17, up from $13, based on 6.5x 2001 EV/EBITDA.