To: Frank A. Coluccio who wrote (6011 ) 11/18/1999 8:26:00 AM From: MikeM54321 Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12823
"Mike, many folks believe that this has to do with the lack of residuals, or what remains after the job is done." Hi Frank, Good point. And that could be the common perception. I've asked myself that at times and come away with the same conclusion. It took 100 years to build the twisted copper pair network (200 million access lines). And 50 years to build the one-way coaxial(70 million homes). And what, about 25 years for narrowband wireless. All are being turned upside down. Not only in North America, but around the world. So that leaves me to believe there has to be at least 6-10 years of solid growth in the engineering/construction sector. And as you say, let's say all telcos have upgraded to ADSL speeds and cablecos to HFC speeds. And of course wireless broadband solutions are deployed where required to fill in by both. Then what? Well how about FTTC or even FTTH? Picture how much work that would bring. Another 6-10 years at least while the service providers milk ADSL, HFC, and 1 megabit wireless for all it's worth to recover their huge infrastructure costs. It's just not that hard to envision a fairly significant long term source of revenues (12-20 years) for the relatively limited players in the engineering/construction sector. But it's all just my speculation combined with what I read and hear about the players in the sector. This is my real speculation concerning when this sector will really shine. It's when their capitalization expenditures, from a quick ramp-up to today's requirement, is over. Then what is left is icing on the cake as they build their cash positions higher and higher. Then it will become extremely hard, though not impossible, for Wall Street to ignore the value. Anyhow, thanks for making me ponder it once again. MikeM(From Florida)