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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems:Stocks w/Strong Earnings and High Tech. Rank -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Connor26 who wrote (72487)11/20/1999 8:55:00 AM
From: kendall harmon  Respond to of 120523
 
PRSF--DLJ sets 125 target

<<PORTAL SOFTWARE (PRSF: $92: B)+* DLJ
FY 00E ($0.24); FY01E ($0.08) DLJ
Susan Passoni (212) 892-5496

Hat Trick and More! Another Robust Quarter; Raising Estimates and TP

o Portal reported 3Q00 operating loss of $0.02 per share that exceeded
Street projections of a loss of $0.11 and compared to a loss of $0.07 last
year.

o Revenues of $28.1 million also topped our forecast by $4.6 million and
rose 288% from $7.2 million in 3Q99.

o For FY00, our revenue estimate is now $96.4 million, up from $86.6
million, and we have lowered our loss per share estimates to $0.24 from
$0.40.

o For FY01, we are raising our revenue estimates to $157.6 million from
$138.3 million. Our FY01 loss per share estimate is now $0.08 from our
prior estimate of $0.32.

o Revenue growth continues to be driven by robust contract momentum,
with 30 new customers added in the quarter, for a total in excess of 160
customers.

o Portal announced the 2nd largest global ISP, Deutsche Telekom T-Online
(with over 3.6 million subscribers) as a new customer.

o Gross margins in the quarter were 74.7%, versus 75.4% in 2Q00 and
67.2% in 3Q99.

o Portal announced its intention to focus on opportunities in the
wireless data arena. Wireless carriers continue to struggle on their
efforts to bill for m-commerce (mobile e-commerce), and are eager to bill
for customer transactions that are completed over their networks.

o Based on its top line growth and strong contract momentum, we believe
that the 40% to 50% discount to the Internet Infrastructure Software group
(currently at an average of roughly 80 times calendar 2000 revenues) is
unwarranted and that the stock should trade at roughly 60 times fiscal
2001E revenues. As such, we are raising our target price to $125 per share
from $80. >>