Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ItsAllCyclical who wrote (55113)	11/20/1999 12:40:00 PM
From: Crimson Ghost	Respond to of 95453

The Fed will not hike rates because it wants to. Rather it will be forced to do so to prevent the bond market and the dollar from tanking badly once the flow of Y2K related foreign funds into US financial assets comes to a halt early next year. The year 2000 should bring us the first sustained bear market since 1990. But the OS stocks could still do very well during the first half as boom 2000 comes to fruition. Note I am predicting a bear market, not a crash. Bear markets typically begin slowly. This allows groups like the OSX (which lag the overall market) to rise substantially if warranted by the fundamentals even as most other sectors gradually decline. That was the pattern in 1990. The OSX bull began very late in this cycle and should continue well past the point when most other sectors have peaked.