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Technology Stocks : Newbridge Networks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Doug who wrote (14918)11/22/1999 2:14:00 PM
From: Tunica Albuginea  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 18016
 
Doug,my feelings on how to play NN:

*I am banking on a takeover/sale.
*I don't know when that will occur.
*Could be any time.
*Thus have to remain fully invested all the time.
*The sooner the better, for many reasons, the main one
being it will significantly cut my Maalox bill.
*I don't use options but you could use those if you want to.
* I am now looking to adding to my position.
* I will add between 21.5 and 22.
*Downside risk to 20= ~ 25%, to 19=~15%, to 17=~10%
and to 14=~5%.
I have 30% of extra cash available to buy more all the way
down to 14-17% if Alan G. has a bad day!!
*my hope is to increase the very large position I have
by about 25%.
*I will start daytrading after I get a better feel for
the stock.
*I hope for my daytrades to be profitable and provide all
the cash needed to hedge against all future risk.
* I think NN is a win-win situation:all I need to look at
is
-CSCO paying 6.5 bill for Stratacom= money down a rat hole.
-LU paying 20 bill for ASND a 2nd tier ATM.
-sale of FORE.

My bottom hunch is that when NN sells, it will surprise many
and make them wish they had bought into it,

TA

Message #14918 from Doug at Nov 22 1999 12:38PM

Tunica: I guess you are playing for a take over. If so, how do you see your downside risk between now and end March and how do you propose to hedge against
that risk.?

Thanks.