To: tuck who wrote (11883 ) 11/23/1999 12:38:00 AM From: Dan Duchardt Respond to of 14162
Tuck,Maybe you lurk the PAIR thread. Actually, I seldom do. I have more that I am trying to keep up with than I possibly can. Perhaps if I had, I might have made a better play. I believe in the promise of the future for PAIR's technology, but for a long time none of that seemed able to offset the negative pressure from the manipulation episode, lawsuits, etc. In addition to selling too soon, one of my weaknesses is an excessive reluctance to enter or re-enter once a stock has started to move. I could easily have gotten back into PAIR after that initial run-up, and with perfect hindsight I wish I had. I'm fighting the same thing now with IFMX, which I chose to sell rather than write ITM calls. I wrote OTMs last round and gained little as the stock pulled back. It looked toppy to me (and others here I guess) this time when it paused around 9_1/2. The 10s had too little premium I thought, and the 7_1/2s too little upside potential. Did that just prior to the explosion of course. I think I want to get back in, but the possibility of the market pulling back, and the series of IFMX 25% pull-backs makes me a bit cautious. Looks like we got some real separation from the upper BB on the daily today. We may need to test 11 again (maybe even 10) before going higher. On the brighter side, I bought some MSFT and T on Friday. Took profits on MSFT and half the T today for some nice returns. I've also made some decent trades on ABTE with a combination of some calls I wrote and bought back, and some selling and buying back of the underlying. As of today I've taken well over 1_1/2 per share in profits off the table in the last two weeks, and am sitting with half my original shares waiting for the right time for my next move (buy back my other half if it drops; write a new round of calls if it goes up). Haven't heard from Herm for a while on ABTE, but I'm doing OK with it.Oh, and Dan: you used to be a daytrader, right? Did you declare yourself a trader on your returns? All of my trading lately has been in a self directed IRA, so trader status has not been an issue. I just opened a new account outside of retirement, so that will have some tax implications. Unfortunately, I have quite a backlog of capital losses from some regrettable associations with industry "professionals", so I will not declare trader status in the near term. Once I get flat, it will be an attractive option I think. From what I have seen it may require some advance planning. You may have to declare your status up front instead of just doing it at tax time. Dan