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To: Duane L. Olson who wrote (1845)11/24/1999 12:16:00 AM
From: John Miz  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 2126
 
Just some stuff....

biz.yahoo.com
RESEARCH ALERT-Bear Stearns raises
chip sector.
NEW YORK, Nov 18 (Reuters) - Bear Stearns said on Thursday it
raised its estimates on companies in the chip equipment sector.

cbs.marketwatch.com
Tim Summers, senior director at Advest, Inc., said the falloff in
chip-equipment stocks today is a combination of big gains in the stocks in the
first 11 months of the year as well as the upcoming Thanksgiving holiday.

"We're in a holiday week, and so people are not focusing as closely as they
might," he said. "They [investors] want to lock in some gains before year
end."

Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International (SEMI) reported an
October book-to-bill ratio of 1.09 for North American-based chip equipment.
This means for every $109 in orders received, $100 worth of products were
shipped.

The figure is higher than the September book-to-bill ratio of 1.07.

"The October numbers show that equipment orders are back on track for full
recovery," said Stanley Myers, president of SEMI. "The resurgence of the
global semiconductor industry, coupled with positive economic and industry
forecasts for 2000, appear to be finally spurring growth in capital spending."

Additionally, SEMI said the three-month average of worldwide shipments hit
$1.47 billion in October, a whopping 72 percent above the year-ago October
number of $852 million.

biz.yahoo.com
CHICAGO, Nov 23 (Reuters) - ABN AMRO said Tuesday it expected
the semiconductor industry to grow by 25 percent in 2000, and 31
percent in 2001, before starting a cyclical decline in 2003.

''We believe the semiconductor industry is just past the first
anniversary of a four-year cyclical upswing that will peak at $300
billion in 2002 from the 1998 trough year at $126 billion and the initial
recovery year 1999 at $144 billion,'' analyst David Wu said in a
research note.

''Growth should accelerate from 15 percent in 1999 to 25 percent in 2000, peaking at 31 percent in 2001
and 28 percent in 2002,'' he said. ''A cyclical decline should begin in 2003 as over-investment in
2001/2002 would cause pricing to be under pressure, more than offsetting positive unit volume growth.''

Wu said the most attractive sectors for growth were those that sell to the wireless and Internet
infrastructure providers. Included in that group were Texas Instruments Inc. (NYSE:TXN - news),
Analog Devices Inc. (NYSE:ADI - news), Maxim Integrated Products Inc. (NasdaqNM:MXIM - news),
and Linear Technology Corp. (NasdaqNM:LLTC - news). He also mentioned Xilinx Inc.
(NasdaqNM:XLNX - news) and Altera Corp. (NasdaqNM:ALTR - news) as possible beneficiaries.

''The other less obvious area is DRAMs where under-investment will lead to under capacity in 2000/2001,
with market share consolidation favoring Micron Technology (NYSE:MU - news) and its closest Korean
competitor - Samsung Electronics in terms of disproportionate share of the profits,'' Wu said.