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Technology Stocks : CheckFree Holdings Corp. (CKFR), the next Dell, Intel? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Charlie Smith who wrote (12341)11/24/1999 8:42:00 AM
From: CAPT TONY  Respond to of 20297
 
CHECKFREE: POSITIVE EVENTS PROPEL SHARE PRICE
08:11am EST 24-Nov-99 J.P. Morgan (ARCHIBOLD, R. (1-212) 648-6231) CKFR

November 24, 1999

J.P. MORGAN SECURITIES INC. - EQUITY RESEARCH

RAIMUNDO C. ARCHIBOLD JR, CFA (1-212) 648-6231;
archibold_raimundo@jpmorgan.com
John Reilly Walsh, CFA (1-212) 648-8028; walsh_john@jpmorgan.com

CheckFree (BUY)

POSITIVE EVENTS PROPEL SHARE PRICE; REITERATE BUY; $80 PRICE TARGET

Fiscal Earnings Per Share* P/E
CKFR 52-Wk ------------------- -------- MkCap
11/23 Rge 6/98A 6/99A 6/00E 2Q/00E 2Q/99A 6/99A 6/00E Yld ($MM)
---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ---- ---- --- -----
$63.69 $69-14 $(0.05) $0.04 $(0.33) $(0.10) $0.00 NM NM 0.0% $3,503

Calendar Earnings Per Share* P/E
CKFR 52-Wk ------------------- ---------- MkCap
11/23 Rge 12/98A 12/99E 12/00E 4Q/99E 4Q/98A 12/99E 12/00E Yld ($MM)
---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ---- ---- --- -----
$63.69 $69-14 $(0.25) $(0.16) $0.02 $(0.10) $0.00 NM NM 0.0% $3,503
Excludes nonrecurring items.

Our reports and models are now available on the JPMS MorganWISE
Website. Please contact your JPMS salesperson for more information.

CheckFree shares have shown strong price momentum over the last few weeks
as several positive events have rekindled investor interest and
appreciation in CheckFree's opportunity and leadership position in
electronic bill presentment and payment. Yesterday's announcement by AOL
(AOL/$84.25/Buy) and Intuit (INTU/$44.06/Market Performer) to offer
electronic bill presentment and payment services positions CheckFree as
the vendor of choice for Yahoo! (YHOO/$221.19/Buy) and Excite@Home and
AOL. These Internet partners significantly increase the distribution
capabilities of the CheckFree service and we expect to see acceleration in
subscriber growth in calendar year 2000. Furthermore, CheckFree provides
bill payment services to Wingspanbank.com and 9 of the top 10 leading
banks in the US. We believe marketing efforts in this channel as we head
into the first quarter and Y2K concerns are alleviated. Accordingly,
we reiterate our Buy rating and our $80 price target on the shares of
CheckFree.

AOL/Intuit Agreement Announced November 23rd
Yesterday, AOL and Intuit announced they had reached a 5-year agreement
that would provide presentment and bill paying services to AOL's 20
million customers. For electronic presentment and payment, CheckFree will
provide the infrastructure and tracking for users. Intuit will be focused
on the user interface and providing financial tools. The service is
expected to go live in the first quarter of 2000. We believe the AOL
offering is particularly compelling relative to the other "portal"
arrangements as AOL already has a billing relationship with its customers.
We view the AOL announcement as further validation of CheckFree's market
leadership position and raises our confidence in their long-term
prospects.

$150 million Offering of Convertible Securities Strengthens Balance
Sheet
CheckFree priced a $150 million convertible subordinated note offering
yesterday, the transaction will be completed on Monday, November 29th. The
seven year notes will bear interest at 6.5% per annum and are convertible
at the holders option into common stock at $73.20 per share or 13.6612
shares per $1,000 of face value. The notes are subject to call by
CheckFree on or after December 1, 2002. We believe the additional capital
will solidify CheckFree's balance sheet and will also provide the company
with flexibility to make acquisitions where deemed appropriate,
particularly in the area of enhance bill presentment capabilities.

Genesis 2000 Platform Launch
On November 16th, CheckFree announced its Genesis 2000 operating platform
was supporting 80 "live" financial institutions. The strength of the
Genesis platform has enabled CheckFree to provide the "CheckFree
Guarantee" to distribution partners such as Yahoo!. that serves to
minimize consumer concern about fraud or late fees. Other functionality
includes: dynamic billing summary; "pay everyone" capability; online
enrollment (no need to mail cancelled checks); and end-to-end customer
care and transaction tracking.

CheckFree Added to S&P 400 MidCap Index
On November 12th, CheckFree was added to the S&P Mid-Cap 400 which we
believe provided investors an opportunity to revisit the CheckFree story
and began the impressive upward trek the shares have experienced.

(The analyst and research associate holds a position in CKFR.)
First Call Corporation, a Thomson Financial company.
All rights reserved. 888.558.2500
FCviaNewsEDGE

BROKER: J.P. Morgan
:TICKER: CKFR



To: Charlie Smith who wrote (12341)11/24/1999 8:44:00 AM
From: Rob C.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 20297
 
Charlie,

IMO the paper biller will be obsolete in the next 3 years. Once people are as comfortable with e-bill as much as they are with e-mail, the game will be over.

BTW I use Quickbooks Pro 6.0, I would imagine that Quicken will use this program for small businesses to make-up their own e-bills to customers, it wouldn't be that hard to set up, I would say this is about 6 months away.

Setting up a bill will be as easy as setting up a payment or a web page for that matter. I wonder who will sell e-bill publishing software, most likely INTU?

One thing I have never understood is why CKFR has not signed up any health or life insurance companies? More un-tapped potential.

BTW I am going to volunteer time to a deliver food to the poor tomorrow. I have alot to be thankful for this year. I hope everyone here does something similar, keep up the good karma and all.

Have a great day and Happy Thanksgiving to those leaving early.

Rob