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To: gbh who wrote (15043)11/24/1999 8:43:00 AM
From: zbyslaw owczarczyk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18016
 
gbh, what is your take about Frost & Sullivan's LMDS report.
If, technological proficiency will play a key role in determining market winners,and we know NN has it(many awards and more 50% worldwide wins)Newbridgeor NN as a subsidiary of XXX company, has real chance to be broadband wireless WAN gorilla.
They were the first to recognize LMDS, locked technology and sold 20% stake in the company name I do not remember to NT.
Now with STII in house.........
One interesting aspect, which may not be understood here in US is that only 20% of houses in Europe has cable TV.
So the real war for broadband access(TV,internet,video on demand like Pay Preview) will be between 3dSL and LMDS. The same for Asia and S.America.

Bandwidth Demand Dictates Dynamic LMDS Market Growth

SAN ANTONIO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Nov. 23, 1999--Want faster connectivity?
Local
multipoint distribution systems (LMDS) services providers are quenching customers'
needs for
speed.

Consequently, LMDS is emerging as the most sought-after broadband wireless
technology.

According to Frost & Sullivan's (www.frost.com) strategic research, ''World
LMDS Equipment
and Service,' revenues for 1999 are projected to reach $1.75 billion and exhibit
an outstanding compound annual growth rate thereafter.
Driven by high bandwidth demand, this burgeoning industry will witness outstanding
revenue growth throughout the forecast period
(1999-2005).


The explosion in data communications, the deregulation of the local phone market and
the technological advantages and cost-effectiveness of
LMDS will foster impressive growth opportunities for this technology. Nevertheless,
LMDS remains commercially unproven. LMDS
network providers and hardware vendors will have to achieve seamless functionality to
support rapid and widespread commercial rollouts.

Because LMDS is a new technology with no commercial record, investors may be
reluctant to commit capital. ''Project financing is among
the most important issues affecting the growth of the industry,' states a Frost & Sullivan
telecommunications analyst.

Furthermore, the LMDS carrier pool is dominated by new entities with little telecom
experience. Investors might be hesitant to support these
players, especially given the inevitable competition with large, well-funded incumbents.

New entrants seeking financial backing should emphasize the increased demand for
high-speed, high-bandwidth technologies triggered by
the exponential growth of the Internet and telecom data traffic.

''The LMDS equipment market is expected to remain intensely competitive,' observes
Frost & Sullivan telecommunications analyst. Still,
industry trends indicate that there is space for existing vendors and new entrants. Early
success in this embryonic field will greatly depend on
the ability of companies to bring a product to market in a timely manner.

Technological proficiency will play a key role in determining market winners, as
will marketing support, business planning support, and
network deployment.


''World LMDS Equipment and Service' analyzes industry challenges, drivers, restraints,
technological trends, and supplies competitive
profiles of competing companies, as well as numerous strategic recommendations.

Frost & Sullivan presents 1999 Market Engineering Awards to the world LMDS
equipment and service industry. The Vendor Excellence
Award is presented to Newbridge Networks,
and the Market Pioneer Award is
given to WinStar Communications.

Frost & Sullivan is an international marketing consulting and training company
that monitors the telecommunications industry for market
trends, market measurements and strategies. This ongoing research is used to
complement a series of research publications such as No.
5653-65 World GSM Digital Cellular Infrastructure Markets and is used to
support participants with customized consulting needs. Free
executive summaries are available to the press.

World LMDS Equipment and Service Markets

Report: 5651-65 Publication Date: June 1999 Price: $3,450

Contact:

Frost & Sullivan, San Antonio
Jennifer Minx, 210/348-1015
jminx@frost.com
frost.com



To: gbh who wrote (15043)11/24/1999 8:58:00 AM
From: Tunica Albuginea  Respond to of 18016
 
thanx gbh. I hadn't researched it. What was surprising
though about the Cerent deal is that CSCO bot it in-the-box,
before the IPO. They were hot on it.
I think that NN would be the ideal fit for CSCO. It would
catapult CSCO way ahead of LU. However it would be nice if
JC nominated TM " President of Telco Networking " division
@ CSCO;( that plus a good no of CSCO shares/cash ); that
might incite TM to stay and develop it.

Just a thought,

:-)

TA