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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Paxb2u who wrote (34267)	11/29/1999 9:31:00 AM
From: pater tenebrarum	Respond to of 99985

Peter, <<Do you get a sense of the greed being played out to the last minute (prior to Y2K) and the possibility of a lot of people trying to get out the same door in a short period of time closer to the end of the year ?>> like i have said before, it's mainly a liquidity issue, and greed of course plays it's part. the thought that there might be a sudden rush for the exit at some point has occurred to me...like every binge, this one will be over at some point and there will be a price to pay. imo the price will be inflation. obviously the bond market doesn't like the current liquidity splurge due to it's LT implications for inflation going forward. when will the stock market react? that's difficult to gauge in a mania...the Japanese market withstood higher rates for a long time before caving in. my guess is the longer the market refuses to correct, the more violent the eventual resolution will be. regards, hb