To: Home-Run who wrote (72747 ) 11/26/1999 6:23:00 PM From: Home-Run Respond to of 97611
From Raging Bull Board: By: zen_warrior Reply To: 6008 by eatatjo69 Wednesday, 24 Nov 1999 at 1:08 AM EST Post # of 6052 CPQ is making one HELL of a turnaround. Today was a nice breather, but I'm confident we have a lot of upside coming to us. Why?... 1) We're now in the ASP business in a deal w/ CWP (interesting that CWP just announced a deal w/ CMGI's 1stUp.com today too). ASP's are expected to grow tremendously over the coming years as companies outsource their application infrastructure. 2) They have some incredibly sexy new PC's. This, IMO, is about the MOST important thing for CPQ. Why? Because what ELSE really differentiates one PC from another?? Service, reliability, price, etc. are all so similar in this market. I also like the size and hardware design of the new PC's... AWESOME! If you haven't seen any of them, pick up the recent copy of Fortune Magazine... they're on the front cover. :-) Also, there's another cool design called the iPaq, a cheaper "Internet Device": directplus.compaq.com Here's the new Presario: athome.compaq.com 3) Pure valuation. With sales, earnings will come after a little shake-up, etc, which has already happened quite a bit. Now look at these P/S comparisons: CPQ: 1.06 HWP: 2.33 IBM: 2.25 DELL: 4.75 HMMMMMM..... 4) CMGI connection will ensure Internet success. They own 18 million shares of CMGI (or $2.5 BILLION worth of CMGI), and their agreement to cooperate in developing new Internet technologies over the next 3 years will really put CPQ on the map. Also of note is CPQ's venture investments, some alongside CMGI's @Ventures fund. CPQ is "only" a $40 Billion company, so appreciation in CMGI will indeed add decent value to CPQ. I also anticipate a $5 Billion price tag on Alta Vista when it goes public next March, which CPQ still owns a holding in. Also, CMGI's huge new CMGI Solutions company will bring CPQ some great business IMO. 5) Wireless. The rumor has been out there... now let's see the deal! Now let's Rock! - Zen :-)