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To: Gary Burton who wrote (55492)	11/27/1999 3:29:00 AM
From: BigBull	Respond to of 95453

Gary: I wouldn't hold my breath waiting for 20 dollar oil any time too soon. eia.doe.gov Wolanchuks count is looking better and better, eh? Please note: The aggregate stocks are now officially at the lower end of the average operational range. The rate of descent is exceedingly sharp. The average seasonal trend is now entering a down cycle period, perhaps aggravating the current sharp decline. I wouldn't short oil under these conditions for love or money. If you wish to call a near term top at 30, then God bless you. What time frame do you have for this top anyway? JMVVHO Bull

To: Gary Burton who wrote (55492)	11/27/1999 6:36:00 AM
From: Roebear	Respond to of 95453

Gary, Edit to my previous post, Recalculating, these current temperature levels actually puts our current average temperature levels a bit more than 8% above even last years very warm levels, this will of course also decrease over the next six days. It could change over the next six days to as much as 1-2% colder (more heating degree days) than last year. I am watching the degree days/average temps closely this week and the next few weeks as this is the time frame where we "lost it" last year and really went warm. I feel it is also important for the overall winter forecast that we begin to show some of that La Nina "variableness" about now, with a good cold spell setting in. About from now till Easter would be nice...OSX and E&P wise VBG. Well, taking the shottygun for a walk in the mountains on the last day of the small game season here, maybe I'll find some woolly caterpillars or something to sharpen up the forecasts gggggg! Best Regards, Roebear