To: elepet who wrote (34362 ) 11/29/1999 12:26:00 AM From: John T. Respond to of 99985
Gold Auction Closes at 6:30 a.m. ET; Results published by 7:15 a.m. ETFrom today's Financial Times: ft.com UK to launch third gold auction today By Gillian O'Connor Mining Correspondent The third of the UK's controversial gold auctions takes place today , when the Bank of England will sell a further 25 tonnes of the precious metal from the UK's reserves under its plan to dispose of 125 tonnes during the 1999/2000 financial year. The Treasury's original announcement on May 7, that it intended to reduce the UK's gold holdings from 715 tonnes to 300 tonnes over the next few years, helped send the price plunging from around $290 an ounce to just above $250 an ounce in late summer, although it has since recovered. The third sale is expected to realise about $230m to $240m. The auction closes at 11.30am today, and the result should be published by 12.15pm. The bullion market was subdued at the end of last week, partly because the US markets were closed because of the Thanksgiving holiday. The Friday afternoon gold fix in London was $296.85 per ounce. Expectations had dimmed as the auction got closer. In mid-week, many traders had been cautiously bullish about the result of the auction, with some suggesting that the allotment price could be set as high as $300 an ounce. The price in the first auction on July 6 was $261.20 and it was 5.2 times covered; in the second auction on September 21 it was $255.75 and 8 times covered. The market background has changed considerably since the last auction. This was followed within a week by the European Central Bank's statement limiting sales and lending, and a price spike which caused severe liquidity problems for Ghanaian miner Ashanti, and Canadian miner Cambior. Before the first two auctions a lot of speculators had short positions, betting the price would fall further and increasing the chances of it doing so. Some of them lost money as the price turned, and speculators now have either squared their books or have long positions - meaning they are expecting the price to rise. As Tony Warwick-Ching of Virtual Gold Research pointed out: "This limits the potential for a short-covering rally, even if the UK auction goes well." Kamal Naquvi of Macquarie was also cautious. He said that rumours had been suggesting that there might be aggressive bidding above the market price by a syndicate, trying to spook the market higher. However, by the end of last week Mr Naquvi thought this was unlikely, and that the auction might well be a damp squib. In the longer term, he sees the price moving within a band of $275 to $325 per ounce, with the risk on the downside. Andy Smith of Mitsui said that in both the earlier auctions the result had been the opposite of what had been expected, and that the recent optimism probably presaged a disappointment. However, he suggested the reaction might be delayed, while the market waited to see whether Ashanti manages to get its $100m additional finance and its formal standstill agreement from its derivative counterparties, which is scheduled for December 2.See also Time Zone Map: aa.usno.navy.mil