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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Richard Ruscio who wrote (34407)11/29/1999 11:42:00 PM
From: John Madarasz  Respond to of 99985
 
Richard, re: divergences et al...

kondratyev.com

Regards,

John Madarasz



To: Richard Ruscio who wrote (34407)11/30/1999 8:17:00 AM
From: Terry Whitman  Respond to of 99985
 
Can't say that i ever recall such a large divergence between the listed and the unlisted markets. In 1987 a similar divergence occurred, with the tech stocks powering to new highs while listed stocks diverged. We know how that ended. <ng> May not happen the same this time around.

Here's something to have a hard look at:
stockcharts.com

Put only 'Energy', and 'Precious metals' up, and expand it back to all data (1997-present). Notice how any large divergence between the two is closed, usually in short order. Shorting the peaking line and buying the bottoming one would have resulted in several quick 30-50% profits.

Current chart suggests shorting energy and buying metals.

BWDIK,
TW